Shatin vs Tuen Mun SA: result 3-1 and analysis
HKFA 1st DivisionRegular Season - 6Kick-off on October 20, 2013 at 07:30 AM (UTC)Ma On Shan Recreation Ground, Hong Kong
Full time
What was the result of Shatin vs Tuen Mun SA?
Shatin won 3-1 on October 20, 2013.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Shatin have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Tuen Mun SA have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2013 | Wofoo Tai Po(home) | 1-1 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Oct 6, 2013 | Resources Capital(away) | 0-0 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Sep 29, 2013 | Kwun Tong(home) | 0-1 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Sep 15, 2013 | Wing Yee(away) | 4-2 | HKFA 1st Division |
| May 5, 2013 | Eastern(away) | 0-2 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2013 | Citizen AA(home) | 1-4 | Premier League |
| Oct 13, 2013 | Yuen Long(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 12, 2013 | Hong Kong FC(away) | 0-7 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Oct 6, 2013 | Wing Yee(home) | 2-2 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Sep 29, 2013 | Rangers(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Shatin score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Tuen Mun SA score 1.4 and concede 2.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shatin | 0.9 | 1.3 | 3 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Tuen Mun SA | 1.4 | 2.3 | 1 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Shatin | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 17 | 19 |
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy