Sheffield Wednesday vs Wigan: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 6Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Hillsborough, Sheffield
The Footlab model makes Wigan the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Sheffield Wednesday. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sheffield Wednesday vs Wigan?
Wigan starts as the favourite with a 107-point Elo edge (1,774 vs 1,667).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sheffield Wednesday have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Wigan have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Bradford(home) | 0-1 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Leyton Orient(away) | 2-1 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bolton(home) | 1-0 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Oldham(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Accrington ST(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Leyton Orient(home) | 0-2 | League One |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Aston Villa U21(home) | 3-2 | EFL Trophy |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Cambridge United(away) | 2-3 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Barnsley(away) | 1-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Grimsby(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Sheffield Wednesday win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Wigan win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 23, 2022 | Wigan 4-1 Sheffield Wednesday | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 8, 2022 | Sheffield Wednesday 1-0 Wigan | League One |
| Sep 28, 2021 | Wigan 1-2 Sheffield Wednesday | League One |
| Jan 28, 2020 | Wigan 2-1 Sheffield Wednesday | Championship |
| Oct 5, 2019 | Sheffield Wednesday 1-0 Wigan | Championship |
| Jan 19, 2019 | Sheffield Wednesday 1-0 Wigan | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Wigan vs Sheffield Wednesday on Jul 23, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Sheffield Wednesday score 0.8 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Wigan score 1.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sheffield Wednesday | 0.8 | 1.6 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Wigan | 1.2 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sheffield Wednesday sit 12th in League One (3 points from 2 matches) and Wigan sit 24th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Sheffield Wednesday | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 24 | Wigan | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sheffield Wednesday vs Wigan?
- The Footlab model makes Wigan the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Sheffield Wednesday.
- Where and when is Sheffield Wednesday vs Wigan played?
- Sheffield Wednesday vs Wigan is played on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Hillsborough, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.