Oldham vs Sheffield Wednesday: prediction and stats
FA Cup1/128-finalsKick-off on November 8, 2026 at 05:15 PM (UTC)Boundary Park, Oldham, Greater Manchester
The Footlab AI model makes Oldham the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Sheffield Wednesday. The most likely score is 1-1. If Oldham wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,453 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Oldham vs Sheffield Wednesday?
A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate Oldham (1,736) and Sheffield Wednesday (1,740).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Oldham vs Sheffield Wednesday
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Oldham
4-2-3-1- 9M. Fondop-Talum
- 8O. Norburn
- 10C. Kavanagh
- 17F. Fawunmi
- 4T. Pett
- 15K. Drummond
- 16W. Sutton
- 6E. Monthe
- 3J. Robson
- 5D. Daniels
- 1M. Hudson
Sheffield Wednesday
4-2-3-1- 48Mason Paul James Burstow
- 10B. Bannan
- 50D. Keillor-Dunn
- 8C. Slattery
- 18Jaden Heskey
- 16B. Mitchell
- 7Y. Valery
- 3M. Lowe
- 30Ernie Weaver
- 2L. Palmer
- 13A. Maynard-Brewer
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 09:44 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Oldham have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Sheffield Wednesday have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026 | Northampton(away) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Crawley Town(home) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Barnet(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Walsall(away) | 0-3 | League Two |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Cheltenham(home) | 4-1 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Blackpool(home) | 1-1 | League One |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Cambridge United(home) | 1-1 | League One |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Doncaster(away) | 0-2 | League One |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Notts County(away) | 0-2 | League One |
| Oct 17, 2026 | AFC Wimbledon(home) | 5-0 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Oldham win, 0 draws, 3 Sheffield Wednesday wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Oldham 4-0 Sheffield Wednesday | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 13, 2012 | Oldham 2-4 Sheffield Wednesday | League Cup |
| Apr 9, 2012 | Sheffield Wednesday 3-0 Oldham | League One |
| Dec 10, 2011 | Oldham 0-2 Sheffield Wednesday | League One |
Last archived meeting: Oldham vs Sheffield Wednesday on Aug 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Oldham score 1.2 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Sheffield Wednesday score 1.6 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oldham | 1.2 | 1.4 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Sheffield Wednesday | 1.6 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Oldham vs Sheffield Wednesday?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Oldham vs Sheffield Wednesday?
- The Footlab AI model makes Oldham the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Sheffield Wednesday.
- Where and when is Oldham vs Sheffield Wednesday played?
- Oldham vs Sheffield Wednesday is played on November 8, 2026 at 05:15 PM (UTC) at Boundary Park, in the FA Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.