Hapoel Marmorek vs Shimshon Tel Aviv: prediction and stats
Liga AlefSouth - 4Kick-off on September 23, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Rehovot Marmorek Weisgal Synthetic, Rehovot
The Footlab model makes Shimshon Tel Aviv the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Hapoel Marmorek. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hapoel Marmorek vs Shimshon Tel Aviv?
A very open match: only 69 Elo points separate Hapoel Marmorek (1,608) and Shimshon Tel Aviv (1,676).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Marmorek have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Shimshon Tel Aviv have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Maccabi Ashdod(home) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Hapoel Herzliya(away) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Maccabi Kiryat Malachi(home) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Beitar Yavne(away) | 2-0 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Holon Yermiyahu(away) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | Hapoel Ramat HaSharon(home) | 4-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 19, 2026 | Kfar Saba 1928(home) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Maccabi Yavne(away) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Holon Yermiyahu(home) | 2-0 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Maccabi Kiryat Gat(home) | 1-3 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Hapoel Marmorek win(s), 4 draw(s), 2 Shimshon Tel Aviv win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2025 | Shimshon Tel Aviv 3-2 Hapoel Marmorek | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2025 | Shimshon Tel Aviv 1-1 Hapoel Marmorek | Liga Alef |
| Sep 27, 2024 | Hapoel Marmorek 0-0 Shimshon Tel Aviv | Liga Alef |
| May 3, 2024 | Hapoel Marmorek 0-0 Shimshon Tel Aviv | Liga Alef |
| Feb 10, 2024 | Shimshon Tel Aviv 0-0 Hapoel Marmorek | Liga Alef |
| Jan 26, 2023 | Shimshon Tel Aviv 1-0 Hapoel Marmorek | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Shimshon Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Marmorek on Dec 11, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Hapoel Marmorek score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Shimshon Tel Aviv score 1.3 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Marmorek | 0.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Shimshon Tel Aviv | 1.3 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hapoel Marmorek sit 12th in Liga Alef (24 points from 22 matches) and Shimshon Tel Aviv sit 7th (30 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Shimshon Tel Aviv | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 28 | 30 |
| 12 | Hapoel Marmorek | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 20 | 34 | 24 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hapoel Marmorek vs Shimshon Tel Aviv?
- The Footlab model makes Shimshon Tel Aviv the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Hapoel Marmorek.
- Where and when is Hapoel Marmorek vs Shimshon Tel Aviv played?
- Hapoel Marmorek vs Shimshon Tel Aviv is played on September 23, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Rehovot Marmorek Weisgal Synthetic, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 23, 2026Hapoel Ramat HaSharonvsHapoel Sderot
- Sep 23, 2026Hapoel HaderavsMaccabi Ashdod
- Sep 23, 2026DimonavsMaccabi Kiryat Malachi
- Sep 23, 2026Hapoel AzorvsHapoel Mahane Yehuda
- Sep 23, 2026Hapoel HerzliyavsTzeirey Tira
- Sep 23, 2026Holon YermiyahuvsKfar Saba 1928
- Sep 23, 2026Beitar YavnevsNordia Jerusalem
- Sep 23, 2026FC JerusalemvsMaccabi Yavne