Hapoel Hadera vs Hapoel Herzliya: prediction and stats
Liga AlefSouth - 30Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Netanya Stadium, Netanya
The Footlab model makes Hapoel Hadera the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Hapoel Herzliya. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hapoel Hadera vs Hapoel Herzliya?
A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate Hapoel Hadera (1,628) and Hapoel Herzliya (1,620).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Hadera have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Hapoel Herzliya have 1, 5 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 25, 2026 | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa(away) | 1-6 | Liga Leumit |
| May 19, 2026 | Hapoel Acre(away) | 0-0 | Liga Leumit |
| May 14, 2026 | Hapoel Ra'anana(home) | 3-3 | Liga Leumit |
| May 8, 2026 | Hapoel Afula(home) | 1-1 | Liga Leumit |
| May 5, 2026 | Ironi Modi'in(home) | 1-0 | Liga Leumit |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Beitar Yavne(away) | 0-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Hapoel Marmorek(home) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Hapoel Azor(away) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | FC Jerusalem(home) | 1-5 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Tzeirey Tira(away) | 0-1 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Hapoel Hadera win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Hapoel Herzliya win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2017 | Hapoel Herzliya 0-2 Hapoel Hadera | Liga Alef |
| Sep 16, 2016 | Hapoel Hadera 1-1 Hapoel Herzliya | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Hapoel Herzliya vs Hapoel Hadera on Jan 21, 2017
How many goals should we expect?
Hapoel Hadera score 1.1 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Herzliya score 0.6 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Hadera | 1.1 | 2.2 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Hapoel Herzliya | 0.6 | 1.9 | 2 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Hapoel Herzliya | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 22 | 36 | 22 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hapoel Hadera vs Hapoel Herzliya?
- The Footlab model makes Hapoel Hadera the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Hapoel Herzliya.
- Where and when is Hapoel Hadera vs Hapoel Herzliya played?
- Hapoel Hadera vs Hapoel Herzliya is played on March 20, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Netanya Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 19, 2027Hapoel MarmorekvsHapoel Azor
- Mar 19, 2027Maccabi AshdodvsMaccabi Kiryat Malachi
- Mar 19, 2027Kfar Saba 1928vsHapoel Mahane Yehuda
- Mar 20, 2027Hapoel Ramat HaSharonvsMaccabi Yavne
- Mar 20, 2027Holon YermiyahuvsDimona
- Mar 20, 2027Nordia JerusalemvsTzeirey Tira
- Mar 20, 2027Shimshon Tel AvivvsHapoel Sderot
- Mar 20, 2027Beitar YavnevsFC Jerusalem