Maccabi Ashdod vs Maccabi Kiryat Malachi: prediction and stats
Liga AlefSouth - 30Kick-off on March 19, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Ashdod Senti, Ašdod (Ashdod)
The Footlab model makes Maccabi Ashdod the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Maccabi Kiryat Malachi. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Maccabi Ashdod vs Maccabi Kiryat Malachi?
A very open match: only 25 Elo points separate Maccabi Ashdod (1,670) and Maccabi Kiryat Malachi (1,645).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maccabi Ashdod have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Maccabi Kiryat Malachi have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Hapoel Marmorek(away) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | FC Jerusalem(away) | 3-3 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Tzeirey Tira(home) | 0-3 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Hapoel Ramat HaSharon(away) | 3-2 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 23, 2026 | Kfar Saba 1928(home) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Holon Yermiyahu(away) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Beitar Yavne(home) | 1-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Hapoel Marmorek(away) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Hapoel Azor(home) | 1-0 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | FC Jerusalem(away) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Maccabi Ashdod win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Maccabi Kiryat Malachi win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2025 | Maccabi Ashdod 5-0 Maccabi Kiryat Malachi | Liga Alef |
| Jan 17, 2025 | Maccabi Kiryat Malachi 1-1 Maccabi Ashdod | Liga Alef |
| Sep 17, 2024 | Maccabi Ashdod 0-0 Maccabi Kiryat Malachi | Liga Alef |
| Feb 16, 2024 | Maccabi Ashdod 0-1 Maccabi Kiryat Malachi | Liga Alef |
| Sep 9, 2023 | Maccabi Kiryat Malachi 0-3 Maccabi Ashdod | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Maccabi Ashdod vs Maccabi Kiryat Malachi on Nov 28, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Maccabi Ashdod score 2.0 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Maccabi Kiryat Malachi score 1.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maccabi Ashdod | 2.0 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Maccabi Kiryat Malachi | 1.1 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Maccabi Ashdod sit 10th in Liga Alef (28 points from 21 matches) and Maccabi Kiryat Malachi sit 5th (35 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Maccabi Kiryat Malachi | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 27 | 27 | 35 |
| 10 | Maccabi Ashdod | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 37 | 35 | 28 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Maccabi Ashdod vs Maccabi Kiryat Malachi?
- The Footlab model makes Maccabi Ashdod the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Maccabi Kiryat Malachi.
- Where and when is Maccabi Ashdod vs Maccabi Kiryat Malachi played?
- Maccabi Ashdod vs Maccabi Kiryat Malachi is played on March 19, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Ashdod Senti, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 19, 2027Hapoel MarmorekvsHapoel Azor
- Mar 19, 2027Kfar Saba 1928vsHapoel Mahane Yehuda
- Mar 20, 2027Hapoel Ramat HaSharonvsMaccabi Yavne
- Mar 20, 2027Hapoel HaderavsHapoel Herzliya
- Mar 20, 2027Holon YermiyahuvsDimona
- Mar 20, 2027Nordia JerusalemvsTzeirey Tira
- Mar 20, 2027Shimshon Tel AvivvsHapoel Sderot
- Mar 20, 2027Beitar YavnevsFC Jerusalem