Shkëndija Haraçinë vs Bashkimi Kumanovo: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 14Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Hasanbeg Arena, Skopje
The Footlab model makes Shkëndija Haraçinë the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Bashkimi Kumanovo. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Shkëndija Haraçinë vs Bashkimi Kumanovo?
A very open match: only 41 Elo points separate Shkëndija Haraçinë (1,511) and Bashkimi Kumanovo (1,469).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Shkëndija Haraçinë have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Bashkimi Kumanovo have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Aresimi(home) | 0-2 | First League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Tikveš(away) | 1-0 | First League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Sileks(home) | 1-1 | First League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Pelister(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Struga(away) | 0-3 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Bregalnica Štip(away) | 0-3 | First League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Aresimi(away) | 0-1 | First League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Tikveš(home) | 0-5 | First League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Sileks(away) | 0-6 | First League |
| May 24, 2026 | Pelister(away) | 0-1 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Shkëndija Haraçinë win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Bashkimi Kumanovo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2025 | Shkëndija Haraçinë 2-0 Bashkimi Kumanovo | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Shkëndija Haraçinë vs Bashkimi Kumanovo on Jan 25, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Shkëndija Haraçinë score 2.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Bashkimi Kumanovo score 0.9 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shkëndija Haraçinë | 2.0 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Bashkimi Kumanovo | 0.9 | 2.3 | 1 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Shkëndija Haraçinë sit 8th in First League (4 points from 4 matches) and Bashkimi Kumanovo sit 10th (0 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Shkëndija Haraçinë | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 4 |
| 10 | Bashkimi Kumanovo | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 15 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Shkëndija Haraçinë vs Bashkimi Kumanovo?
- The Footlab model makes Shkëndija Haraçinë the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Bashkimi Kumanovo.
- Where and when is Shkëndija Haraçinë vs Bashkimi Kumanovo played?
- Shkëndija Haraçinë vs Bashkimi Kumanovo is played on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Hasanbeg Arena, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.