Vardar Skopje vs Tikveš: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 14Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Toše Proeski Arena, Skopje
The Footlab AI model makes Vardar Skopje the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 17% for Tikveš. The most likely score is 1-1. If Vardar Skopje wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,788 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vardar Skopje vs Tikveš?
Vardar Skopje starts as the favourite with a 118-point Elo edge (1,779 vs 1,661).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Vardar Skopje vs Tikveš
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Vardar Skopje
4-2-3-1- 9A. Omeragikj
- 6D. Babunski
- 71Miguel Ângelo Ferreira Pires
- 32D. Castañeda
- 8B. Nikolov
- 22D. Todorovski
- 4M. Matić
- 5F. Najdovski
- 21G. Jankulov
- 3M. Manevski
- 95D. Taleski
Tikveš
4-3-3- 11N'fanly Sylla
- 22Toheeb Lawal
- 7Lucianinho
- 15T. Nikolovski
- 23E. O. Wisdom
- 34K. Ackovski
- 6B. Ramadani
- 4I. Fall
- 21A. Varelovski
- 74Renatinho
- 1H. Stevkovski
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 05:45 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vardar Skopje have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Tikveš have 7, 7 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Bregalnica Štip(away) | 1-0 | First League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Skopje(away) | 2-1 | First League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Shkëndija Haraçinë(home) | 2-0 | First League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Bashkimi Kumanovo(away) | 3-3 | First League |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Aresimi(home) | 2-0 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Bregalnica Štip(home) | 3-0 | First League |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Krosu Sport Bitola(away) | 13-0 | Cup |
| Oct 2, 2026 | FK Rabotnicki(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Sileks(away) | 0-0 | First League |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Struga(home) | 2-2 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Vardar Skopje wins, 3 draws, 0 Tikveš wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 31, 2026 | Tikveš 1-1 Vardar Skopje | First League |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Vardar Skopje 7-0 Tikveš | First League |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Vardar Skopje 3-1 Tikveš | First League |
| Aug 15, 2025 | Tikveš 1-2 Vardar Skopje | First League |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Vardar Skopje 2-2 Tikveš | First League |
| Dec 3, 2024 | Vardar Skopje 1-1 Tikveš | First League |
Last archived meeting: Tikveš vs Vardar Skopje on Aug 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Vardar Skopje score 1.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Tikveš score 2.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vardar Skopje | 1.9 | 1.4 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Tikveš | 2.9 | 0.9 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vardar Skopje sit 3rd in First League (20 points from 10 matches) and Tikveš sit 4th (16 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Vardar Skopje | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 9 | 20 |
| 4 | Tikveš | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 20 | 7 | 16 |
A question about Vardar Skopje vs Tikveš?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vardar Skopje vs Tikveš?
- The Footlab AI model makes Vardar Skopje the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 17% for Tikveš.
- Where and when is Vardar Skopje vs Tikveš played?
- Vardar Skopje vs Tikveš is played on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Toše Proeski Arena, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.