Shkendija vs Sileks: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 14Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Ecolog Arena, Tetovo
The Footlab model makes Shkendija the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Sileks. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Shkendija vs Sileks?
Shkendija starts as the favourite with a 160-point Elo edge (1,826 vs 1,666).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Shkendija have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Sileks have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Struga(home) | 2-1 | First League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Bregalnica Štip(home) | 4-1 | First League |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Hibernian(home) | 0-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Vardar Skopje(away) | 2-0 | First League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Hibernian(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Vardar Skopje(away) | 1-4 | First League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Skopje(home) | 3-0 | First League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Shkëndija Haraçinë(away) | 1-1 | First League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Bashkimi Kumanovo(home) | 6-0 | First League |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Dinamo Minsk(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Shkendija win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Sileks win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 20, 2026 | Sileks 1-0 Shkendija | Cup |
| May 1, 2026 | Sileks 1-1 Shkendija | First League |
| Feb 22, 2026 | Sileks 1-2 Shkendija | First League |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Shkendija 2-0 Sileks | First League |
| May 17, 2025 | Shkendija 1-3 Sileks | First League |
| Feb 23, 2025 | Shkendija 4-2 Sileks | First League |
How many goals should we expect?
Shkendija score 1.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Sileks score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shkendija | 1.6 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
| Sileks | 1.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Shkendija sit 1st in First League (12 points from 4 matches) and Sileks sit 3rd (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shkendija | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 12 |
| 3 | Sileks | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Shkendija vs Sileks?
- The Footlab model makes Shkendija the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Sileks.
- Where and when is Shkendija vs Sileks played?
- Shkendija vs Sileks is played on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Ecolog Arena, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.