Sholing vs Gloucester City: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 27Kick-off on January 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Mackoy Stadium, Southampton, Hampshire
The Footlab model makes Gloucester City the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Sholing. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sholing vs Gloucester City?
A very open match: only 58 Elo points separate Sholing (1,806) and Gloucester City (1,864).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sholing have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Gloucester City have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Chertsey Town(home) | 2-4 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hanwell Town(away) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Poole Town(away) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bath City(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Folkestone Invicta(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hanwell Town(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Wimborne Town(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Bracknell Town(away) | 2-3 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chertsey Town(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Weston-super-Mare(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Sholing win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Gloucester City win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | Sholing 1-1 Gloucester City | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Gloucester City 2-1 Sholing | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jan 18, 2025 | Gloucester City 2-1 Sholing | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Nov 9, 2024 | Sholing 1-1 Gloucester City | Non League Premier - Southern South |
Last archived meeting: Sholing vs Gloucester City on Jan 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sholing score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Gloucester City score 1.6 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sholing | 1.3 | 1.3 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Gloucester City | 1.6 | 1.2 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sholing sit 17th in Non League Premier - Southern South (4 points from 4 matches) and Gloucester City sit 15th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Gloucester City | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
| 17 | Sholing | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sholing vs Gloucester City?
- The Footlab model makes Gloucester City the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Sholing.
- Where and when is Sholing vs Gloucester City played?
- Sholing vs Gloucester City is played on January 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Mackoy Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 9, 2027Taunton TownvsPoole Town
- Jan 9, 2027BerkhamstedvsBath City
- Jan 9, 2027UxbridgevsBracknell Town
- Jan 9, 2027Chichester CityvsMalvern Town
- Jan 9, 2027Gosport BoroughvsEvesham United
- Jan 9, 2027Wimborne TownvsChertsey Town
- Jan 9, 2027Yate TownvsHavant & Wville
- Jan 9, 2027Chippenham TownvsBasingstoke Town