Wimborne Town vs Chertsey Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 27Kick-off on January 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Cuthbury Stadium, Wimborne Minster, Dorset
The Footlab model makes Chertsey Town the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Wimborne Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Wimborne Town vs Chertsey Town?
Chertsey Town starts as the favourite with a 100-point Elo edge (1,838 vs 1,738).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wimborne Town have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Chertsey Town have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Malvern Town(away) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Gloucester City(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Chichester City(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Frome Town(away) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Maidenhead(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sholing(away) | 4-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Yate Town(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Berkhamsted(home) | 4-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gloucester City(away) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Westfield (Surrey)(home) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Wimborne Town win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Chertsey Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Chertsey Town 3-0 Wimborne Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Wimborne Town 4-1 Chertsey Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Mar 4, 2025 | Chertsey Town 1-2 Wimborne Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Wimborne Town 1-3 Chertsey Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
Last archived meeting: Chertsey Town vs Wimborne Town on Mar 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Wimborne Town score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Chertsey Town score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wimborne Town | 1.5 | 1.7 | 2 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Chertsey Town | 1.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Wimborne Town sit 14th in Non League Premier - Southern South (4 points from 4 matches) and Chertsey Town sit 1st (10 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chertsey Town | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 10 |
| 14 | Wimborne Town | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Wimborne Town vs Chertsey Town?
- The Footlab model makes Chertsey Town the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Wimborne Town.
- Where and when is Wimborne Town vs Chertsey Town played?
- Wimborne Town vs Chertsey Town is played on January 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Cuthbury Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 9, 2027Taunton TownvsPoole Town
- Jan 9, 2027BerkhamstedvsBath City
- Jan 9, 2027UxbridgevsBracknell Town
- Jan 9, 2027Chichester CityvsMalvern Town
- Jan 9, 2027SholingvsGloucester City
- Jan 9, 2027Gosport BoroughvsEvesham United
- Jan 9, 2027Yate TownvsHavant & Wville
- Jan 9, 2027Chippenham TownvsBasingstoke Town