Chichester City vs Malvern Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 27Kick-off on January 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Oaklands Park, Chichester, West Sussex
The Footlab AI model makes Chichester City the favourite at 59%, against 21% for a draw and 20% for Malvern Town. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,484 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chichester City vs Malvern Town?
On Elo ratings, Chichester City has 1,813 points and Malvern Town 1,716.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Chichester City vs Malvern Town
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Chichester City
Not enough data to predict the Chichester City lineup.
Malvern Town
Not enough data to predict the Malvern Town lineup.
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 03:12 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chichester City have 9 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats; Malvern Town have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Frome Town(away) | 3-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Hanworth Villa(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Gosport Borough(away) | 2-0 | FA Trophy |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Berkhamsted(home) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Bracknell Town(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Sholing(away) | 2-4 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Uxbridge(away) | 0-3 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Frome Town(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Yate Town(home) | 3-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Basingstoke Town(away) | 1-4 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
How many goals should we expect?
Chichester City score 2.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Malvern Town score 1.3 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chichester City | 2.1 | 1.7 | 2 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| Malvern Town | 1.3 | 2.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chichester City sit 7th in Non League Premier - Southern South (25 points from 15 matches) and Malvern Town sit 22nd (11 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Chichester City | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 27 | 25 | 25 |
| 22 | Malvern Town | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 21 | 38 | 11 |
A question about Chichester City vs Malvern Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chichester City vs Malvern Town?
- The Footlab AI model makes Chichester City the favourite at 59%, against 21% for a draw and 20% for Malvern Town.
- Where and when is Chichester City vs Malvern Town played?
- Chichester City vs Malvern Town is played on January 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Oaklands Park, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 9, 2027Taunton TownvsPoole Town
- Jan 9, 2027BerkhamstedvsBath City
- Jan 9, 2027UxbridgevsBracknell Town
- Jan 9, 2027SholingvsGloucester City
- Jan 9, 2027Gosport BoroughvsEvesham United
- Jan 9, 2027Wimborne TownvsChertsey Town
- Jan 9, 2027Yate TownvsHavant & Wville
- Jan 9, 2027Chippenham TownvsBasingstoke Town