Chichester City vs Malvern Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 27Kick-off on January 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Oaklands Park, Chichester, West Sussex
The Footlab model makes Chichester City the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Malvern Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chichester City vs Malvern Town?
A very open match: only 36 Elo points separate Chichester City (1,753) and Malvern Town (1,789).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chichester City have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Malvern Town have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Chippenham Town(home) | 4-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Evesham United(away) | 0-3 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Wimborne Town(away) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Poole Town(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bognor Regis Town(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Wimborne Town(home) | 0-3 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bracknell Town(away) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Taunton Town(away) | 2-5 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hanwell Town(home) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Rushall Olympic(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Chichester City score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Malvern Town score 1.9 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chichester City | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Malvern Town | 1.9 | 1.8 | 4 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chichester City sit 9th in Non League Premier - Southern South (6 points from 4 matches) and Malvern Town sit 22nd (2 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Chichester City | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 6 |
| 22 | Malvern Town | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chichester City vs Malvern Town?
- The Footlab model makes Chichester City the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Malvern Town.
- Where and when is Chichester City vs Malvern Town played?
- Chichester City vs Malvern Town is played on January 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Oaklands Park, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 9, 2027Taunton TownvsPoole Town
- Jan 9, 2027BerkhamstedvsBath City
- Jan 9, 2027UxbridgevsBracknell Town
- Jan 9, 2027SholingvsGloucester City
- Jan 9, 2027Gosport BoroughvsEvesham United
- Jan 9, 2027Wimborne TownvsChertsey Town
- Jan 9, 2027Yate TownvsHavant & Wville
- Jan 9, 2027Chippenham TownvsBasingstoke Town