Shooting Stars vs CS Sfaxien: prediction and stats
CAF Confederation Cup1st Preliminary RoundKick-off on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Adamasingba Stadium, Ibadan
The Footlab model makes CS Sfaxien the favourite at 39%, against 31% for a draw and 30% for Shooting Stars. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Shooting Stars vs CS Sfaxien?
CS Sfaxien is a heavy favourite: 1,957 Elo points against 1,626 — a 332-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Shooting Stars have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; CS Sfaxien have 11, 3 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 1, 2026 | Kada Warriors(home) | 1-1 | Federation Cup |
| May 24, 2026 | Niger Tornadoes(away) | 0-1 | NPFL |
| May 10, 2026 | Barau FC(home) | 1-0 | NPFL |
| May 3, 2026 | Nasarawa United(home) | 3-2 | NPFL |
| Apr 19, 2026 | El Kanemi Warriors(away) | 2-1 | NPFL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Stade Tunisien(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | San-Pédro(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 24, 2026 | ES Zarzis(home) | 0-1 | Cup |
| May 20, 2026 | Stade Gabesien(home) | 2-1 | Cup |
| May 14, 2026 | ES Sahel(home) | 3-1 | Ligue 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Shooting Stars score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; CS Sfaxien score 1.5 and concede 0.4. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shooting Stars | 1.5 | 1.3 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| CS Sfaxien | 1.5 | 0.4 | 9 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | CS Sfaxien | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Shooting Stars vs CS Sfaxien?
- The Footlab model makes CS Sfaxien the favourite at 39%, against 31% for a draw and 30% for Shooting Stars.
- Where and when is Shooting Stars vs CS Sfaxien played?
- Shooting Stars vs CS Sfaxien is played on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Adamasingba Stadium, in the CAF Confederation Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.