Shrewsbury vs Bury: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 13Kick-off on October 12, 2019 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Croud Meadow, Shrewsbury, Shropshire
Match in progress
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Shrewsbury have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Bury have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2019 | Newcastle United U21(home) | 3-0 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 5, 2019 | Tranmere(away) | 1-0 | League One |
| Sep 28, 2019 | Fleetwood Town(home) | 0-3 | League One |
| Sep 21, 2019 | Rotherham(away) | 0-0 | League One |
| Sep 17, 2019 | Southend(home) | 4-3 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 4, 2019 | Port Vale(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Apr 30, 2019 | Tranmere(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Apr 22, 2019 | Northampton(home) | 3-1 | League Two |
| Apr 19, 2019 | Newport County(away) | 1-3 | League Two |
| Apr 13, 2019 | Colchester(home) | 2-0 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Shrewsbury win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Bury win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2018 | Shrewsbury 1-1 Bury | League One |
| Nov 21, 2017 | Bury 1-0 Shrewsbury | League One |
| Feb 4, 2017 | Shrewsbury 2-1 Bury | League One |
| Sep 10, 2016 | Bury 2-1 Shrewsbury | League One |
| Mar 19, 2016 | Bury 2-2 Shrewsbury | League One |
| Oct 24, 2015 | Shrewsbury 2-0 Bury | League One |
How many goals should we expect?
Shrewsbury score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Bury score 1.3 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shrewsbury | 0.9 | 1.3 | 7 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
| Bury | 1.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy