Šiauliai vs Hegelmann Litauen: prediction and stats
A LygaRegular Season - 31Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Šiaulių Gytarių stadionas, Šiauliai
The Footlab model makes Hegelmann Litauen the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Šiauliai. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Šiauliai vs Hegelmann Litauen?
A very open match: only 78 Elo points separate Šiauliai (1,559) and Hegelmann Litauen (1,637).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Šiauliai have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Hegelmann Litauen have 2, 5 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | Panevėžys(home) | 1-0 | A Lyga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Džiugas Telšiai(home) | 3-4 | A Lyga |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Banga(home) | 1-3 | A Lyga |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Hegelmann Litauen(home) | 0-2 | A Lyga |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Kauno Žalgiris(away) | 0-4 | A Lyga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Banga(home) | 1-1 | A Lyga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kauno Žalgiris(away) | 0-2 | A Lyga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | TransINVEST Vilnius(home) | 1-2 | A Lyga |
| Jul 27, 2026 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius(home) | 2-3 | A Lyga |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Šiauliai(away) | 2-0 | A Lyga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Šiauliai win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Hegelmann Litauen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 24, 2026 | Šiauliai 0-2 Hegelmann Litauen | A Lyga |
| May 9, 2026 | Hegelmann Litauen 1-1 Šiauliai | A Lyga |
| Mar 11, 2026 | Hegelmann Litauen 1-1 Šiauliai | A Lyga |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Šiauliai 0-1 Hegelmann Litauen | A Lyga |
| Aug 7, 2025 | Hegelmann Litauen 3-1 Šiauliai | Cup |
| Jul 5, 2025 | Hegelmann Litauen 5-2 Šiauliai | A Lyga |
Last archived meeting: Šiauliai vs Hegelmann Litauen on Jul 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Šiauliai score 1.3 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Hegelmann Litauen score 1.0 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Šiauliai | 1.3 | 2.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Hegelmann Litauen | 1.0 | 1.8 | 1 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Šiauliai sit 9th in A Lyga (16 points from 24 matches) and Hegelmann Litauen sit 7th (23 points from 25 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Hegelmann Litauen | 25 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 27 | 42 | 23 |
| 9 | Šiauliai | 24 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 23 | 50 | 16 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Šiauliai vs Hegelmann Litauen?
- The Footlab model makes Hegelmann Litauen the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Šiauliai.
- Where and when is Šiauliai vs Hegelmann Litauen played?
- Šiauliai vs Hegelmann Litauen is played on September 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Šiaulių Gytarių stadionas, in the A Lyga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.