Match

Sidama Bunna vs Ethiopian Medhin: prediction and stats

Premier LeagueRegular Season - 3Kick-off on October 21, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Yirgalem Stadium, Yirgalem

Sidama BunnaEthiopian Medhin

The Footlab AI model makes Sidama Bunna the favourite at 44%, against 35% for a draw and 21% for Ethiopian Medhin. The most likely score is 0-0. If Sidama Bunna wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.9% of the 1,758 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Sidama Bunna vs Ethiopian Medhin?

A very open match: only 39 Elo points separate Sidama Bunna (1,629) and Ethiopian Medhin (1,590).

44%35%21%
Sidama Bunna winDrawEthiopian Medhin win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Sidama Bunna vs Ethiopian Medhin

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Sidama Bunna

4-3-3
  1. 2A. Musse
  2. 21T. Bejrond
  3. 20B. Nago
  1. 6Y. Yohannis
  2. 10F. Tewoldebrhan
  3. 8R. Nassir
  1. 14B. Bekele
  2. 31M. Muzie
  3. 15D. Demu
  4. 16Y. Bayeh
  1. 47Y. Abure

Ethiopian Medhin

Not enough data to predict the Ethiopian Medhin lineup.

Computed on October 8, 2026 at 06:42 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sidama Bunna have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Ethiopian Medhin have 5, 7 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Sidama Bunna
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Sep 13, 2026Aiglons(home)3-0CAF Champions League
Sep 5, 2026Aiglons(away)0-0CAF Champions League
Jul 4, 2026Mebrat Hayl(home)0-1Premier League
Jun 28, 2026Bahardar(away)1-0Premier League
Jun 20, 2026Negelle Arsi(home)1-1Premier League
Ethiopian Medhin
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jul 3, 2026Fasil Ketema(away)0-1Premier League
Jun 27, 2026Suhul Shire(home)0-3Premier League
Jun 21, 2026Mekelakeya(away)0-1Premier League
Jun 14, 2026Dire Dawa Kenema(home)1-0Premier League
May 30, 2026Welwalo Adigrat Uni(away)1-1Premier League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Sidama Bunna win, 3 draws, 2 Ethiopian Medhin wins.

DateScoreCompetition
May 26, 2026Sidama Bunna 2-2 Ethiopian MedhinEthiopia Cup
May 6, 2026Sidama Bunna 0-1 Ethiopian MedhinPremier League
Dec 26, 2025Ethiopian Medhin 1-1 Sidama BunnaPremier League
May 28, 2025Ethiopian Medhin 3-0 Sidama BunnaPremier League
Oct 22, 2024Sidama Bunna 1-0 Ethiopian MedhinPremier League
Apr 7, 2024Sidama Bunna 0-0 Ethiopian MedhinPremier League

Last archived meeting: Sidama Bunna vs Ethiopian Medhin on May 26, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Sidama Bunna score 1.1 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Ethiopian Medhin score 1.0 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 24% probability of over 2.5 goals and 32% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Sidama Bunna1.10.674/155/15
Ethiopian Medhin1.00.948/154/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Sidama Bunna sit 5th in Premier League (49 points from 34 matches) and Ethiopian Medhin sit 1st (73 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Ethiopian Medhin342275491573
5Sidama Bunna3412139272849

A question about Sidama Bunna vs Ethiopian Medhin?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Sidama Bunna vs Ethiopian Medhin?
The Footlab AI model makes Sidama Bunna the favourite at 44%, against 35% for a draw and 21% for Ethiopian Medhin.
Where and when is Sidama Bunna vs Ethiopian Medhin played?
Sidama Bunna vs Ethiopian Medhin is played on October 21, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Yirgalem Stadium, in the Premier League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 24% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Sidama Bunna and Ethiopian Medhin

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