Match

Gamo Chencha vs Mekelakeya: prediction and stats

Premier LeagueRegular Season - 3Kick-off on October 22, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)

Gamo ChenchaMekelakeya

The Footlab AI model makes Mekelakeya the favourite at 45%, against 32% for a draw and 23% for Gamo Chencha. The most likely score is 0-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,495 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Gamo Chencha vs Mekelakeya?

Mekelakeya starts as the favourite with a 117-point Elo edge (1,589 vs 1,472).

23%32%45%
Gamo Chencha winDrawMekelakeya win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Gamo Chencha vs Mekelakeya

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Gamo Chencha

Not enough data to predict the Gamo Chencha lineup.

Mekelakeya

4-3-3
  1. 27A. Yigzaw
  2. 14Mohammed Abera
  3. 35C. Kudjoe
  1. 7Bereket Desta Dana
  2. 10Abdulkarim Worku
  3. 19C. Gugsa
  1. 6G. Hagos
  2. 34N. Hailu
  3. 2F. Jemal
  4. 22C. Menberu
  1. 1Nafian Legason Alionzi

Computed on October 16, 2026 at 11:25 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

In their last match in all competitions, Gamo Chencha have 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat; Mekelakeya have 6, 6 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Gamo Chencha
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Ethiopian Medhin(home)0-2Premier League
Mekelakeya
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Awassa Kenema(away)1-0Premier League
Jul 4, 2026Hadiya Hosaena(home)0-0Premier League
Jun 28, 2026Sheger Ketema(away)0-2Premier League
Jun 21, 2026Ethiopian Medhin(home)1-0Premier League
Jun 14, 2026Kedus Giorgis(away)0-3Premier League

How many goals should we expect?

Gamo Chencha score 0.0 and concede 2.0 goals per match in their last match; Mekelakeya score 1.0 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 30% probability of over 2.5 goals and 37% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Gamo Chencha0.02.000/10/1
Mekelakeya1.00.785/155/15

Over the last match in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Gamo Chencha sit 18th in Premier League (0 points from 1 match) and Mekelakeya sit 3rd (3 points from 1 match).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Mekelakeya1100103
18Gamo Chencha1001020

A question about Gamo Chencha vs Mekelakeya?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Gamo Chencha vs Mekelakeya?
The Footlab AI model makes Mekelakeya the favourite at 45%, against 32% for a draw and 23% for Gamo Chencha.
Where and when is Gamo Chencha vs Mekelakeya played?
Gamo Chencha vs Mekelakeya is played on October 22, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Premier League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 30% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Gamo Chencha and Mekelakeya

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