Welayta Dicha vs Bahardar: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 3Kick-off on October 22, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Wolaita Soddo Stadium, Wolaita Sodo
The Footlab AI model calls this one tight: 35% for Welayta Dicha, 40% for a draw, 25% for Bahardar. The most likely score is 0-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,793 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Welayta Dicha vs Bahardar?
A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate Welayta Dicha (1,574) and Bahardar (1,557).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Welayta Dicha vs Bahardar
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Welayta Dicha
4-3-3- 10C. Damtew
- 19Y. Darza
- 11A. Aliso
- 8A. Kidane
- 16T. Taffese
- 14M. Nicole
- 44N. Nasaro
- 27Yonatan Elias
- 5K. Kebede
- 26Wubshet Kifle
- 1B. Genetu
Bahardar
Not enough data to predict the Bahardar lineup.
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 06:43 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Welayta Dicha have 6 wins, 7 draws and 2 defeats; Bahardar have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Hadiya Hosaena(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Fasil Ketema(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Jul 2, 2026 | Ethiopia Bunna(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Adama Kenema(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Jun 22, 2026 | Mebrat Hayl(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Halaba Ketema(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Hadiya Hosaena(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Jul 3, 2026 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Sidama Bunna(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Awassa Kenema(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Welayta Dicha win, 3 draws, 2 Bahardar wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 16, 2026 | Bahardar 0-2 Welayta Dicha | Premier League |
| Jan 20, 2026 | Welayta Dicha 0-0 Bahardar | Premier League |
| Jun 12, 2025 | Welayta Dicha 0-4 Bahardar | Premier League |
| Nov 3, 2024 | Bahardar 0-0 Welayta Dicha | Premier League |
| May 24, 2024 | Bahardar 0-0 Welayta Dicha | Premier League |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Welayta Dicha 0-1 Bahardar | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Bahardar vs Welayta Dicha on Jun 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Welayta Dicha score 0.8 and concede 0.4 goals per match over their last 15; Bahardar score 0.8 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 16% probability of over 2.5 goals and 25% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Welayta Dicha | 0.8 | 0.4 | 11 | 3/15 | 2/15 |
| Bahardar | 0.8 | 0.8 | 6 | 5/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Welayta Dicha sit 11th in Premier League (1 point from 1 match) and Bahardar sit 8th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Bahardar | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 11 | Welayta Dicha | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
A question about Welayta Dicha vs Bahardar?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Welayta Dicha vs Bahardar?
- The Footlab AI model calls this one tight: 35% for Welayta Dicha, 40% for a draw, 25% for Bahardar.
- Where and when is Welayta Dicha vs Bahardar played?
- Welayta Dicha vs Bahardar is played on October 22, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Wolaita Soddo Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 16% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 20, 2026Mebrat HaylvsSheger Ketema
- Oct 20, 2026Halaba KetemavsFasil Ketema
- Oct 21, 2026Ethiopia BunnavsNegelle Arsi
- Oct 21, 2026Sidama BunnavsEthiopian Medhin
- Oct 21, 2026Hadiya HosaenavsWelwalo Adigrat Uni
- Oct 22, 2026Awassa KenemavsEthiopia Nigd Bank
- Oct 22, 2026Kedus GiorgisvsAdama Kenema
- Oct 22, 2026Gamo ChenchavsMekelakeya