Match

Sidama Bunna vs Negelle Arsi: prediction and stats

Premier LeagueMatchday 24Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Yirgalem Stadium, Yirgalem

Sidama BunnaNegelle Arsi

The Footlab AI model calls this one tight: 31% for Sidama Bunna, 37% for a draw, 32% for Negelle Arsi. The most likely score is 0-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 5,926 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Sidama Bunna vs Negelle Arsi?

A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate Sidama Bunna (1,588) and Negelle Arsi (1,584).

31%37%32%
Sidama Bunna winDrawNegelle Arsi win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Sidama Bunna vs Negelle Arsi

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Sidama Bunna

4-3-3
  1. 2A. Musse
  2. 21T. Bejrond
  3. 20B. Nago
  1. 6Y. Yohannis
  2. 10F. Tewoldebrhan
  3. 8R. Nassir
  1. 14B. Bekele
  2. 31M. Muzie
  3. 15D. Demu
  4. 16Y. Bayeh
  1. 47Y. Abure

Negelle Arsi

Not enough data to predict the Negelle Arsi lineup.

Computed on November 14, 2026 at 05:13 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sidama Bunna have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Negelle Arsi have 7, 6 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Sidama Bunna
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 1, 2026Mekelakeya(home)0-0Premier League
Oct 25, 2026Al Hilal Omdurman(away)0-2CAF Champions League
Oct 18, 2026Al Hilal Omdurman(home)0-2CAF Champions League
Oct 11, 2026Ethiopia Nigd Bank(home)0-1Premier League
Sep 13, 2026Aiglons(home)3-0CAF Champions League
Negelle Arsi
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 30, 2026Sheger Ketema(away)2-1Premier League
Oct 26, 2026Adama Kenema(home)1-0Premier League
Oct 21, 2026Ethiopia Bunna(away)3-0Premier League
Oct 16, 2026Mebrat Hayl(away)0-0Premier League
Oct 10, 2026Kedus Giorgis(away)1-1Premier League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Sidama Bunna win, 1 draw, 1 Negelle Arsi win.

DateScoreCompetition
Jun 20, 2026Sidama Bunna 1-1 Negelle ArsiPremier League
Apr 25, 2026Negelle Arsi 1-2 Sidama BunnaEthiopia Cup
Jan 27, 2026Negelle Arsi 1-0 Sidama BunnaPremier League

Last archived meeting: Sidama Bunna vs Negelle Arsi on Jun 20, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Sidama Bunna score 0.9 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Negelle Arsi score 1.1 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 22% probability of over 2.5 goals and 32% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Sidama Bunna0.90.863/154/15
Negelle Arsi1.10.885/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Sidama Bunna sit 16th in Premier League (1 point from 2 matches) and Negelle Arsi sit 1st (11 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Negelle Arsi53207211
16Sidama Bunna2011011

A question about Sidama Bunna vs Negelle Arsi?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Sidama Bunna vs Negelle Arsi?
The Footlab AI model calls this one tight: 31% for Sidama Bunna, 37% for a draw, 32% for Negelle Arsi.
Where and when is Sidama Bunna vs Negelle Arsi played?
Sidama Bunna vs Negelle Arsi is played on March 13, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Yirgalem Stadium, in the Premier League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 22% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Sidama Bunna and Negelle Arsi