Match

Mekelakeya vs Bahardar: prediction and stats

Premier LeagueRegular Season - 24Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Addis Ababa Stadium, Addis Abeba

MekelakeyaBahardar

The Footlab AI model calls this one tight: 32% for Mekelakeya, 36% for a draw, 32% for Bahardar. The most likely score is 0-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.5% of the 3,688 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Mekelakeya vs Bahardar?

A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Mekelakeya (1,569) and Bahardar (1,563).

32%36%32%
Mekelakeya winDrawBahardar win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Mekelakeya vs Bahardar

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Mekelakeya

4-3-3
  1. 27A. Yigzaw
  2. 14Mohammed Abera
  3. 35C. Kudjoe
  1. 7Bereket Desta Dana
  2. 10Abdulkarim Worku
  3. 19C. Gugsa
  1. 6G. Hagos
  2. 34N. Hailu
  3. 2F. Jemal
  4. 22C. Menberu
  1. 1Nafian Legason Alionzi

Bahardar

Not enough data to predict the Bahardar lineup.

Computed on October 27, 2026 at 04:23 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mekelakeya have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Bahardar have 4, 7 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Mekelakeya
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 27, 2026Ethiopian Medhin(away)3-1Premier League
Oct 22, 2026Gamo Chencha(away)1-0Premier League
Oct 18, 2026Ethiopia Nigd Bank(home)0-1Premier League
Oct 11, 2026Awassa Kenema(away)1-0Premier League
Jul 4, 2026Hadiya Hosaena(home)0-0Premier League
Bahardar
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 22, 2026Welayta Dicha(away)3-1Premier League
Oct 16, 2026Halaba Ketema(away)0-1Premier League
Oct 11, 2026Hadiya Hosaena(away)1-0Premier League
Jul 3, 2026Ethiopia Nigd Bank(away)2-2Premier League
Jun 28, 2026Sidama Bunna(home)0-1Premier League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Mekelakeya wins, 3 draws, 3 Bahardar wins.

DateScoreCompetition
May 19, 2026Bahardar 1-1 MekelakeyaPremier League
Jan 10, 2026Mekelakeya 1-2 BahardarPremier League
May 19, 2025Bahardar 0-0 MekelakeyaPremier League
Jan 25, 2025Mekelakeya 1-1 BahardarPremier League
Mar 7, 2024Mekelakeya 0-1 BahardarPremier League
Oct 15, 2023Bahardar 2-1 MekelakeyaPremier League

Last archived meeting: Bahardar vs Mekelakeya on May 19, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Mekelakeya score 0.9 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Bahardar score 0.9 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 23% probability of over 2.5 goals and 32% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Mekelakeya0.90.784/154/15
Bahardar0.90.865/152/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Mekelakeya sit 5th in Premier League (6 points from 3 matches) and Bahardar sit 4th (6 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Bahardar3201426
5Mekelakeya3201216

A question about Mekelakeya vs Bahardar?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Mekelakeya vs Bahardar?
The Footlab AI model calls this one tight: 32% for Mekelakeya, 36% for a draw, 32% for Bahardar.
Where and when is Mekelakeya vs Bahardar played?
Mekelakeya vs Bahardar is played on March 13, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Addis Ababa Stadium, in the Premier League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 23% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Mekelakeya and Bahardar

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