Gamo Chencha vs Sheger Ketema: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 24Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Sheger Ketema the favourite at 43%, against 35% for a draw and 22% for Gamo Chencha. The most likely score is 0-0. If Sheger Ketema wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,601 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gamo Chencha vs Sheger Ketema?
A very open match: only 87 Elo points separate Gamo Chencha (1,443) and Sheger Ketema (1,529).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Gamo Chencha vs Sheger Ketema
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Gamo Chencha
Not enough data to predict the Gamo Chencha lineup.
Sheger Ketema
Not enough data to predict the Sheger Ketema lineup.
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 07:16 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 4 matches in all competitions, Gamo Chencha have 0 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats; Sheger Ketema have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Awassa Kenema(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 26, 2026 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Mekelakeya(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Ethiopian Medhin(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2026 | Negelle Arsi(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 26, 2026 | Kedus Giorgis(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Mebrat Hayl(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Adama Kenema(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Ethiopia Bunna(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Gamo Chencha score 0.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 4; Sheger Ketema score 0.8 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 24% probability of over 2.5 goals and 32% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gamo Chencha | 0.3 | 1.3 | 1 | 1/4 | 1/4 |
| Sheger Ketema | 0.8 | 0.7 | 8 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 4 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gamo Chencha sit 18th in Premier League (1 point from 4 matches) and Sheger Ketema sit 12th (5 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Sheger Ketema | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 5 |
| 18 | Gamo Chencha | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
A question about Gamo Chencha vs Sheger Ketema?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gamo Chencha vs Sheger Ketema?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sheger Ketema the favourite at 43%, against 35% for a draw and 22% for Gamo Chencha.
- Where and when is Gamo Chencha vs Sheger Ketema played?
- Gamo Chencha vs Sheger Ketema is played on March 13, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 24% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 13, 2027Awassa KenemavsAdama Kenema
- Mar 13, 2027MekelakeyavsBahardar
- Mar 13, 2027Sidama BunnavsNegelle Arsi
- Mar 13, 2027Welayta DichavsKedus Giorgis
- Mar 13, 2027Ethiopia Nigd BankvsWelwalo Adigrat Uni
- Mar 13, 2027Hadiya HosaenavsMebrat Hayl
- Mar 13, 2027Ethiopian MedhinvsFasil Ketema
- Mar 13, 2027Halaba KetemavsEthiopia Bunna