Sparta Lichtenberg vs Optik Rathenow: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Nordost-NordNOFV-Nord - 15Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Rasenplatz Fischerstraße, Berlin
The Footlab model makes Sparta Lichtenberg the favourite at 65%, against 18% for a draw and 17% for Optik Rathenow. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sparta Lichtenberg vs Optik Rathenow?
A very open match: only 92 Elo points separate Sparta Lichtenberg (1,737) and Optik Rathenow (1,645).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sparta Lichtenberg have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Optik Rathenow have 2, 6 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Mecklenburg Schwerin(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Reinickendorfer Fuchse(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Krieschow(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 30, 2026 | Siedenbollentin(away) | 3-4 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| May 17, 2026 | Neustrelitz(home) | 4-2 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Eintracht Mahlsdorf(away) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Aug 8, 2026 | BAK '07(home) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Ludwigsfelde(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 15, 2026 | BSC Süd 05(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Hertha BSC II(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Sparta Lichtenberg win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Optik Rathenow win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2026 | Optik Rathenow 2-1 Sparta Lichtenberg | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Aug 10, 2025 | Sparta Lichtenberg 4-0 Optik Rathenow | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Sparta Lichtenberg 4-0 Optik Rathenow | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Optik Rathenow 2-2 Sparta Lichtenberg | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Feb 25, 2024 | Optik Rathenow 1-1 Sparta Lichtenberg | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Aug 20, 2023 | Sparta Lichtenberg 1-0 Optik Rathenow | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
Last archived meeting: Optik Rathenow vs Sparta Lichtenberg on Mar 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sparta Lichtenberg score 2.3 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Optik Rathenow score 0.9 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 76% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sparta Lichtenberg | 2.3 | 2.1 | 0 | 14/15 | 12/15 |
| Optik Rathenow | 0.9 | 2.1 | 2 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sparta Lichtenberg sit 10th in Oberliga - Nordost-Nord (2 points from 2 matches) and Optik Rathenow sit 15th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Sparta Lichtenberg | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 15 | Optik Rathenow | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sparta Lichtenberg vs Optik Rathenow?
- The Footlab model makes Sparta Lichtenberg the favourite at 65%, against 18% for a draw and 17% for Optik Rathenow.
- Where and when is Sparta Lichtenberg vs Optik Rathenow played?
- Sparta Lichtenberg vs Optik Rathenow is played on December 13, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Rasenplatz Fischerstraße, in the Oberliga - Nordost-Nord.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 76% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 13, 2026FC Lok StendalvsMakkabi
- Dec 13, 2026BAK '07vsSiedenbollentin
- Dec 13, 2026Eintracht MahlsdorfvsLichtenberg
- Dec 13, 2026Hertha ZehlendorfvsTennis Borussia
- Dec 13, 2026NeustrelitzvsHansa Rostock II
- Dec 13, 2026Reinickendorfer FuchsevsMecklenburg Schwerin
- Dec 13, 2026Union KlosterfeldevsAnker Wismar