Simba vs TP Mazembe: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 5Kick-off on November 13, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stade Manika, Kolwezi
The Footlab AI model makes TP Mazembe the favourite at 69%, against 22% for a draw and 9% for Simba. The most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Simba vs TP Mazembe?
TP Mazembe is a heavy favourite: 1,960 Elo points against 1,641, a 319-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Simba vs TP Mazembe
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Simba
Not enough data to predict the Simba lineup.
TP Mazembe
4-3-3- 20B. Beenga
- 13Cheick Oumar Abdallah Fofana
- 27G. Mujaya
- 28Jean Louis Barthelemy Diouf
- 11M. Ngimbi
- 17B. Ngalamulume
- 5A. Zon
- 26A. Fabrice
- 38L. Ameka
- 37P. Mwamba
- 33A. Faty
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 12:03 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Simba have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; TP Mazembe have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 20, 2026 | Maniema Union(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Vita Club(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 14, 2026 | JSK(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 10, 2026 | Céleste(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Saint Eloi Lupopo(home) | 0-3 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Medeama(home) | 3-1 | CAF Champions League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Medeama(away) | 1-0 | CAF Champions League |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Céleste(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Don Bosco(away) | 3-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Saint Eloi Lupopo(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Simba win, 1 draw, 4 TP Mazembe wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 3, 2026 | TP Mazembe 4-1 Simba | Ligue 1 |
| May 18, 2026 | Simba 0-1 TP Mazembe | Ligue 1 |
| Feb 22, 2026 | TP Mazembe 3-0 Simba | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 11, 2025 | Simba 1-1 TP Mazembe | Ligue 1 |
| May 31, 2025 | TP Mazembe 2-1 Simba | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Simba 1-0 TP Mazembe | Ligue 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Simba score 0.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; TP Mazembe score 1.8 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 32% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Simba | 0.6 | 1.3 | 3 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| TP Mazembe | 1.8 | 0.5 | 10 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Simba sit 4th in Ligue 1 (50 points from 30 matches) and TP Mazembe sit 1st (73 points from 30 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TP Mazembe | 30 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 57 | 12 | 73 |
| 4 | Simba | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 33 | 27 | 50 |
A question about Simba vs TP Mazembe?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Simba vs TP Mazembe?
- The Footlab AI model makes TP Mazembe the favourite at 69%, against 22% for a draw and 9% for Simba.
- Where and when is Simba vs TP Mazembe played?
- Simba vs TP Mazembe is played on November 13, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Manika, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.