TP Mazembe vs Sanga Balende: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 10Kick-off on December 10, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stade du TP Mazembe, Lubumbashi
The Footlab AI model makes TP Mazembe the favourite at 77%, against 18% for a draw and 5% for Sanga Balende. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 3,810 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 29, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win TP Mazembe vs Sanga Balende?
TP Mazembe is a heavy favourite: 1,938 Elo points against 1,540, a 398-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for TP Mazembe vs Sanga Balende
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
TP Mazembe
4-3-3- 20B. Beenga
- 13Cheick Oumar Abdallah Fofana
- 27G. Mujaya
- 28Jean Louis Barthelemy Diouf
- 11M. Ngimbi
- 17B. Ngalamulume
- 5A. Zon
- 26A. Fabrice
- 37P. Mwamba
- 30Christian Ibwa Ise
- 33A. Faty
Sanga Balende
Not enough data to predict the Sanga Balende lineup.
Computed on October 29, 2026 at 02:50 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, TP Mazembe have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Sanga Balende have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Club Africain(away) | 0-1 | CAF Champions League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Club Africain(home) | 1-1 | CAF Champions League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Medeama(home) | 3-1 | CAF Champions League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Medeama(away) | 1-0 | CAF Champions League |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Céleste(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2026 | Tanganyika(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 21, 2026 | CS Manika(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 22, 2026 | Malole(away) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Tanganyika(away) | 1-3 | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Tshinkunku(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 TP Mazembe wins, 0 draws, 1 Sanga Balende win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2026 | Sanga Balende 1-2 TP Mazembe | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 4, 2025 | TP Mazembe 3-0 Sanga Balende | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Sanga Balende 3-0 TP Mazembe | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 21, 2024 | TP Mazembe 1-0 Sanga Balende | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 3, 2023 | TP Mazembe 2-0 Sanga Balende | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 26, 2021 | TP Mazembe 4-0 Sanga Balende | Ligue 1 |
Last archived meeting: Sanga Balende vs TP Mazembe on Jan 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
TP Mazembe score 1.7 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Sanga Balende score 0.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 24% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TP Mazembe | 1.7 | 0.5 | 9 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Sanga Balende | 0.7 | 0.9 | 7 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Sanga Balende | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
A question about TP Mazembe vs Sanga Balende?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for TP Mazembe vs Sanga Balende?
- The Footlab AI model makes TP Mazembe the favourite at 77%, against 18% for a draw and 5% for Sanga Balende.
- Where and when is TP Mazembe vs Sanga Balende played?
- TP Mazembe vs Sanga Balende is played on December 10, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stade du TP Mazembe, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.