Siofok vs Sárbogárd: prediction and stats
NB III - SouthwestSouthwest - 20Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Révész Géza utcai stadion, Siófok
The Footlab model makes Siofok the favourite at 62%, against 20% for a draw and 18% for Sárbogárd. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Siofok vs Sárbogárd?
Siofok starts as the favourite with a 150-point Elo edge (1,460 vs 1,310).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Siofok have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Sárbogárd have 3, 0 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | TFSE Budapest(away) | 0-2 | Magyar Kupa |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Budafoki LC(home) | 0-0 | NB III - Southwest |
| Aug 12, 2026 | MTK Budapest II(home) | 2-1 | NB III - Southwest |
| Aug 9, 2026 | PTE-PEAC(away) | 1-2 | NB III - Southwest |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Kaposvar(away) | 1-2 | NB III - Southwest |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Pécsi MFC(away) | 0-3 | Magyar Kupa |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Majosi(away) | 0-3 | NB III - Southwest |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Pécsi MFC(home) | 0-6 | NB III - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Budafoki LC(home) | 0-1 | NB III - Southwest |
| Jul 26, 2026 | PTE-PEAC(away) | 1-2 | NB III - Southwest |
How many goals should we expect?
Siofok score 1.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Sárbogárd score 1.1 and concede 2.6. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Siofok | 1.6 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Sárbogárd | 1.1 | 2.6 | 0 | 8/14 | 12/14 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Siofok sit 11th in NB III - Southwest (4 points from 4 matches) and Sárbogárd sit 15th (0 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Siofok | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
| 15 | Sárbogárd | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 12 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Siofok vs Sárbogárd?
- The Footlab model makes Siofok the favourite at 62%, against 20% for a draw and 18% for Sárbogárd.
- Where and when is Siofok vs Sárbogárd played?
- Siofok vs Sárbogárd is played on March 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Révész Géza utcai stadion, in the NB III - Southwest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.