SJK Akatemia vs KäPa: prediction and stats
YkkösliigaGroup StageKick-off on September 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)OmaSP Stadion, Seinäjoki
The Footlab model makes KäPa the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for SJK Akatemia. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SJK Akatemia vs KäPa?
A very open match: only 0 Elo points separate SJK Akatemia (1,500) and KäPa (1,500).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SJK Akatemia have 1 wins, 4 draws and 10 defeats; KäPa have 2, 3 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Haka(away) | 0-2 | Ykkösliiga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | JIPPO(away) | 1-0 | Ykkösliiga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | PK-35(home) | 0-3 | Ykkösliiga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Kooteepee(away) | 1-2 | Ykkösliiga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | EIF(home) | 0-0 | Ykkösliiga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | JIPPO(home) | 1-3 | Ykkösliiga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kooteepee(away) | 1-2 | Ykkösliiga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | EIF(home) | 0-1 | Ykkösliiga |
| Jul 29, 2026 | MP(away) | 1-2 | Ykkösliiga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Haka(away) | 1-3 | Ykkösliiga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 SJK Akatemia win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 KäPa win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 17, 2026 | KäPa 2-2 SJK Akatemia | Ykkösliiga |
| Apr 10, 2026 | KäPa 2-2 SJK Akatemia | Ykkösliiga |
| Feb 22, 2026 | SJK Akatemia 0-0 KäPa | Ykköscup |
| Sep 19, 2025 | KäPa 3-1 SJK Akatemia | Ykkösliiga |
| Jun 18, 2025 | SJK Akatemia 5-3 KäPa | Ykkösliiga |
| Apr 27, 2025 | KäPa 0-3 SJK Akatemia | Ykkösliiga |
How many goals should we expect?
SJK Akatemia score 0.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; KäPa score 0.9 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SJK Akatemia | 0.3 | 1.7 | 3 | 3/15 | 5/15 |
| KäPa | 0.9 | 1.8 | 1 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
SJK Akatemia sit 10th in Ykkösliiga (12 points from 20 matches) and KäPa sit 8th (16 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | KäPa | 20 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 21 | 35 | 16 |
| 8 | KäPa | 20 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 21 | 35 | 16 |
| 10 | SJK Akatemia | 20 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 9 | 27 | 12 |
| 10 | SJK Akatemia | 20 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 9 | 27 | 12 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SJK Akatemia vs KäPa?
- The Footlab model makes KäPa the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for SJK Akatemia.
- Where and when is SJK Akatemia vs KäPa played?
- SJK Akatemia vs KäPa is played on September 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at OmaSP Stadion, in the Ykkösliiga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.