Skála vs NSI Runavik: prediction and stats
MeistaradeildinRegular Season - 24Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Undir Mýruhjalla, Skáli, Eysturoy
The Footlab model makes NSI Runavik the favourite at 54%, against 22% for a draw and 24% for Skála. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Skála vs NSI Runavik?
NSI Runavik starts as the favourite with a 275-point Elo edge (1,725 vs 1,450).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Skála have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; NSI Runavik have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | B68(away) | 1-0 | Meistaradeildin |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Vikingur Gota(home) | 2-1 | Meistaradeildin |
| Aug 10, 2026 | NSI Runavik(away) | 0-4 | Meistaradeildin |
| Aug 2, 2026 | AB(away) | 2-3 | Meistaradeildin |
| Jul 4, 2026 | B68(home) | 1-0 | Meistaradeildin |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | KI Klaksvik(away) | 2-2 | Meistaradeildin |
| Aug 16, 2026 | EB / Streymur(home) | 4-2 | Meistaradeildin |
| Aug 13, 2026 | FC Lugano(home) | 2-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Skála(home) | 4-0 | Meistaradeildin |
| Aug 6, 2026 | FC Lugano(away) | 0-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Skála win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 NSI Runavik win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 10, 2026 | NSI Runavik 4-0 Skála | Meistaradeildin |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Skála 3-3 NSI Runavik | Meistaradeildin |
| Oct 20, 2024 | Skála 0-0 NSI Runavik | Meistaradeildin |
| Aug 10, 2024 | NSI Runavik 3-0 Skála | Meistaradeildin |
| Mar 16, 2024 | NSI Runavik 3-1 Skála | Meistaradeildin |
| Oct 27, 2023 | NSI Runavik 0-2 Skála | 1. Deild |
How many goals should we expect?
Skála score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; NSI Runavik score 1.8 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Skála | 1.1 | 1.7 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| NSI Runavik | 1.8 | 1.2 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Skála sit 8th in Meistaradeildin (20 points from 20 matches) and NSI Runavik sit 1st (41 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NSI Runavik | 20 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 41 | 23 | 41 |
| 8 | Skála | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 20 | 32 | 20 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Skála vs NSI Runavik?
- The Footlab model makes NSI Runavik the favourite at 54%, against 22% for a draw and 24% for Skála.
- Where and when is Skála vs NSI Runavik played?
- Skála vs NSI Runavik is played on October 11, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Undir Mýruhjalla, in the Meistaradeildin.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.