Skalica vs Podbrezová: prediction and stats
Super LigaRegular Season - 9Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Mestský štadión, Skalica
The Footlab model makes Skalica the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Podbrezová. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Skalica vs Podbrezová?
A very open match: only 29 Elo points separate Skalica (1,835) and Podbrezová (1,864).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Skalica have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Podbrezová have 8, 0 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Zemplín Michalovce(away) | 0-2 | Super Liga |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Nové Mesto nad Váhom(away) | 1-0 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FK Košice(home) | 2-4 | Super Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Žilina(away) | 3-1 | Super Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Ružomberok(home) | 2-1 | Super Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dunajska Streda(away) | 0-5 | Super Liga |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Rudňany(away) | 3-0 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | AS Trencin(home) | 2-1 | Super Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ružomberok(away) | 4-1 | Super Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Slovan Bratislava(away) | 0-3 | Super Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Skalica win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Podbrezová win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2025 | Podbrezová 2-0 Skalica | Super Liga |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Skalica 2-2 Podbrezová | Super Liga |
| Nov 23, 2024 | Skalica 1-2 Podbrezová | Super Liga |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Podbrezová 7-1 Skalica | Super Liga |
| Dec 15, 2023 | Skalica 3-0 Podbrezová | Super Liga |
| Sep 15, 2023 | Podbrezová 1-0 Skalica | Super Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Skalica score 1.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Podbrezová score 1.8 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Skalica | 1.6 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Podbrezová | 1.8 | 1.7 | 5 | 6/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Skalica sit 6th in Super Liga (7 points from 5 matches) and Podbrezová sit 5th (9 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Podbrezová | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 9 |
| 6 | Skalica | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Skalica vs Podbrezová?
- The Footlab model makes Skalica the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Podbrezová.
- Where and when is Skalica vs Podbrezová played?
- Skalica vs Podbrezová is played on September 19, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Mestský štadión, in the Super Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.