Dunajska Streda vs Spartak Trnava: prediction and stats
Super LigaRegular Season - 9Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)MOL Aréna, Dunajská Streda
The Footlab model makes Dunajska Streda the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Spartak Trnava. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dunajska Streda vs Spartak Trnava?
A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Dunajska Streda (1,977) and Spartak Trnava (1,959).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dunajska Streda have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Spartak Trnava have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Podbrezová(home) | 5-0 | Super Liga |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Svaty Peter(away) | 13-0 | Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Komárno(away) | 3-0 | Super Liga |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Twente(home) | 3-3 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Twente(away) | 0-6 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | AS Trencin(away) | 4-0 | Super Liga |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Trenčianske Stankovce(home) | 3-0 | Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Zemplín Michalovce(home) | 2-0 | Super Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dukla Banská Bystrica(home) | 3-0 | Super Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Komárno(away) | 2-1 | Super Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Dunajska Streda win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Spartak Trnava win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Dunajska Streda 3-0 Spartak Trnava | Super Liga |
| Apr 22, 2026 | Spartak Trnava 2-1 Dunajska Streda | Super Liga |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Dunajska Streda 3-1 Spartak Trnava | Super Liga |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Spartak Trnava 0-3 Dunajska Streda | Super Liga |
| May 11, 2025 | Dunajska Streda 1-0 Spartak Trnava | Super Liga |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Spartak Trnava 1-1 Dunajska Streda | Super Liga |
Last archived meeting: Dunajska Streda vs Spartak Trnava on May 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dunajska Streda score 2.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Spartak Trnava score 1.6 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dunajska Streda | 2.5 | 1.1 | 7 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Spartak Trnava | 1.6 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dunajska Streda sit 3rd in Super Liga (10 points from 4 matches) and Spartak Trnava sit 1st (13 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spartak Trnava | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 2 | 13 |
| 3 | Dunajska Streda | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dunajska Streda vs Spartak Trnava?
- The Footlab model makes Dunajska Streda the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Spartak Trnava.
- Where and when is Dunajska Streda vs Spartak Trnava played?
- Dunajska Streda vs Spartak Trnava is played on September 19, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at MOL Aréna, in the Super Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.