Žilina vs AS Trencin: prediction and stats
Super LigaRegular Season - 9Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Štadión Pod Dubňom, Žilina
The Footlab model makes Žilina the favourite at 60%, against 21% for a draw and 19% for AS Trencin. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Žilina vs AS Trencin?
Žilina starts as the favourite with a 117-point Elo edge (1,910 vs 1,793).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Žilina have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; AS Trencin have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Komárno(home) | 2-1 | Super Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dukla Banská Bystrica(away) | 4-3 | Super Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Skalica(home) | 1-3 | Super Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Zemplín Michalovce(away) | 1-0 | Super Liga |
| Jul 30, 2026 | GKS Katowice(away) | 1-3 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Spartak Trnava(home) | 0-4 | Super Liga |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Jednota Bánová(away) | 6-0 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Podbrezová(away) | 1-2 | Super Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FK Košice(away) | 3-3 | Super Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Komárno(home) | 1-1 | Super Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Žilina win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 AS Trencin win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | Žilina 3-0 AS Trencin | Cup |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Žilina 4-1 AS Trencin | Super Liga |
| Aug 17, 2025 | AS Trencin 2-1 Žilina | Super Liga |
| Nov 30, 2024 | AS Trencin 2-4 Žilina | Super Liga |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Žilina 4-1 AS Trencin | Super Liga |
| Nov 10, 2023 | AS Trencin 0-0 Žilina | Super Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Žilina score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; AS Trencin score 1.9 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Žilina | 1.3 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| AS Trencin | 1.9 | 1.8 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Žilina sit 5th in Super Liga (7 points from 4 matches) and AS Trencin sit 10th (2 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Žilina | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 7 |
| 10 | AS Trencin | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Žilina vs AS Trencin?
- The Footlab model makes Žilina the favourite at 60%, against 21% for a draw and 19% for AS Trencin.
- Where and when is Žilina vs AS Trencin played?
- Žilina vs AS Trencin is played on September 19, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Štadión Pod Dubňom, in the Super Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.