Skövde AIK vs Trelleborg: prediction and stats
Ettan - SödraSödra - 20Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Södermalms IP, Skövde
The Footlab model makes Trelleborg the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Skövde AIK. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Skövde AIK vs Trelleborg?
Trelleborg starts as the favourite with a 100-point Elo edge (1,595 vs 1,495).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Skövde AIK have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Trelleborg have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Kristianstad(home) | 3-1 | Ettan - Södra |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Atvidabergs FF(away) | 1-2 | Ettan - Södra |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lund(home) | 1-1 | Ettan - Södra |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Olympic(away) | 1-3 | Ettan - Södra |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Lund(away) | 1-2 | Ettan - Södra |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Trollhättan(away) | 1-2 | Ettan - Södra |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Eskilsminne(home) | 1-3 | Ettan - Södra |
| Aug 8, 2026 | AFC Malmo(away) | 2-1 | Ettan - Södra |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Lund(home) | 2-2 | Ettan - Södra |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Al Diriyah(home) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Skövde AIK win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Trelleborg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | Trelleborg 4-0 Skövde AIK | Ettan - Södra |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Trelleborg 1-1 Skövde AIK | Superettan |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Skövde AIK 1-0 Trelleborg | Superettan |
| Nov 5, 2023 | Trelleborg 2-2 Skövde AIK | Superettan |
| May 20, 2023 | Skövde AIK 2-3 Trelleborg | Superettan |
| Oct 8, 2022 | Skövde AIK 3-1 Trelleborg | Superettan |
Last archived meeting: Trelleborg vs Skövde AIK on Jun 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Skövde AIK score 1.2 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Trelleborg score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Skövde AIK | 1.2 | 1.9 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Trelleborg | 1.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Skövde AIK sit 12th in Ettan - Södra (20 points from 18 matches) and Trelleborg sit 1st (36 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trelleborg | 18 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 39 | 20 | 36 |
| 12 | Skövde AIK | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 27 | 20 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Skövde AIK vs Trelleborg?
- The Footlab model makes Trelleborg the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Skövde AIK.
- Where and when is Skövde AIK vs Trelleborg played?
- Skövde AIK vs Trelleborg is played on September 6, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Södermalms IP, in the Ettan - Södra.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.