Utsikten vs Lund: prediction and stats
Ettan - SödraSödra - 20Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Ruddalens IP 1, Västra Frölunda
The Footlab model makes Lund the favourite at 64%, against 20% for a draw and 16% for Utsikten. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Utsikten vs Lund?
Lund starts as the favourite with a 171-point Elo edge (1,603 vs 1,432).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Utsikten have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Lund have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Eskilsminne(home) | 2-2 | Ettan - Södra |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Rosengård(away) | 1-1 | Ettan - Södra |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hässleholms IF(home) | 0-2 | Ettan - Södra |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Tvååker(away) | 2-2 | Ettan - Södra |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Stenungsund(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | AFC Malmo(away) | 5-2 | Ettan - Södra |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Hässleholms IF(home) | 0-3 | Ettan - Södra |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Skövde AIK(away) | 1-1 | Ettan - Södra |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Trelleborg(away) | 2-2 | Ettan - Södra |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Skövde AIK(home) | 2-1 | Ettan - Södra |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Utsikten win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Lund win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Lund 5-0 Utsikten | Ettan - Södra |
| Aug 21, 2021 | Lund 2-1 Utsikten | Ettan - Södra |
| Apr 11, 2021 | Utsikten 2-0 Lund | Ettan - Södra |
| Nov 21, 2020 | Utsikten 3-0 Lund | Ettan - Södra |
| Aug 29, 2020 | Lund 2-2 Utsikten | Ettan - Södra |
| Aug 11, 2019 | Lund 2-1 Utsikten | Ettan - Södra |
How many goals should we expect?
Utsikten score 1.0 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Lund score 2.0 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Utsikten | 1.0 | 2.3 | 2 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
| Lund | 2.0 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Utsikten sit 16th in Ettan - Södra (7 points from 18 matches) and Lund sit 3rd (31 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Lund | 18 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 34 | 24 | 31 |
| 16 | Utsikten | 18 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 15 | 46 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Utsikten vs Lund?
- The Footlab model makes Lund the favourite at 64%, against 20% for a draw and 16% for Utsikten.
- Where and when is Utsikten vs Lund played?
- Utsikten vs Lund is played on September 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Ruddalens IP 1, in the Ettan - Södra.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.