Match

SKRA Częstochowa vs Goczałkowice Zdrój: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 3Group III - 22Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)KS Skra Częstochowa Akademia, Częstochowa

SKRA CzęstochowaGoczałkowice Zdrój

The Footlab model makes SKRA Częstochowa the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Goczałkowice Zdrój. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win SKRA Częstochowa vs Goczałkowice Zdrój?

A very open match: only 45 Elo points separate SKRA Częstochowa (1,782) and Goczałkowice Zdrój (1,737).

SKRA Częstochowa win56 %
Draw23 %
Goczałkowice Zdrój win21 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SKRA Częstochowa have 10 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Goczałkowice Zdrój have 4, 4 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

SKRA Częstochowa
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 30, 2026Słowianin(away)1-2III Liga - Group 3
May 22, 2026Goczałkowice Zdrój(home)4-0III Liga - Group 3
May 16, 2026Sparta Katowice(away)0-1III Liga - Group 3
May 13, 2026Ślęza Wrocław(home)2-1III Liga - Group 3
May 9, 2026Górnik Zabrze II(home)1-2III Liga - Group 3
Goczałkowice Zdrój
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Polonia Nysa(home)2-0III Liga - Group 3
Aug 19, 2026Sparta Katowice(away)1-2III Liga - Group 3
Aug 15, 2026Ślęza Wrocław(home)0-2III Liga - Group 3
Aug 9, 2026Zaglebie Sosnowiec(away)0-2III Liga - Group 3
Jul 31, 2026Stal Brzeg(away)1-1III Liga - Group 3

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 3 SKRA Częstochowa win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Goczałkowice Zdrój win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 22, 2026SKRA Częstochowa 4-0 Goczałkowice ZdrójIII Liga - Group 3
Nov 8, 2025Goczałkowice Zdrój 1-1 SKRA CzęstochowaIII Liga - Group 3
Feb 19, 2025SKRA Częstochowa 2-1 Goczałkowice ZdrójFriendlies Clubs
Jan 20, 2024SKRA Częstochowa 1-0 Goczałkowice ZdrójFriendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: SKRA Częstochowa vs Goczałkowice Zdrój on May 22, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

SKRA Częstochowa score 2.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Goczałkowice Zdrój score 0.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
SKRA Częstochowa2.01.349/1513/15
Goczałkowice Zdrój0.91.547/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
14Goczałkowice Zdrój5113474

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for SKRA Częstochowa vs Goczałkowice Zdrój?
The Footlab model makes SKRA Częstochowa the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Goczałkowice Zdrój.
Where and when is SKRA Częstochowa vs Goczałkowice Zdrój played?
SKRA Częstochowa vs Goczałkowice Zdrój is played on March 13, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at KS Skra Częstochowa Akademia, in the III Liga - Group 3.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: SKRA Częstochowa and Goczałkowice Zdrój

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