SKRA Częstochowa vs Goczałkowice Zdrój: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 3Group III - 22Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)KS Skra Częstochowa Akademia, Częstochowa
The Footlab model makes SKRA Częstochowa the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Goczałkowice Zdrój. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SKRA Częstochowa vs Goczałkowice Zdrój?
A very open match: only 45 Elo points separate SKRA Częstochowa (1,782) and Goczałkowice Zdrój (1,737).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SKRA Częstochowa have 10 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Goczałkowice Zdrój have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | Słowianin(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| May 22, 2026 | Goczałkowice Zdrój(home) | 4-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| May 16, 2026 | Sparta Katowice(away) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| May 13, 2026 | Ślęza Wrocław(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| May 9, 2026 | Górnik Zabrze II(home) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Polonia Nysa(home) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Sparta Katowice(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ślęza Wrocław(home) | 0-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Zaglebie Sosnowiec(away) | 0-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Stal Brzeg(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 SKRA Częstochowa win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Goczałkowice Zdrój win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 22, 2026 | SKRA Częstochowa 4-0 Goczałkowice Zdrój | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Goczałkowice Zdrój 1-1 SKRA Częstochowa | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Feb 19, 2025 | SKRA Częstochowa 2-1 Goczałkowice Zdrój | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 20, 2024 | SKRA Częstochowa 1-0 Goczałkowice Zdrój | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: SKRA Częstochowa vs Goczałkowice Zdrój on May 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
SKRA Częstochowa score 2.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Goczałkowice Zdrój score 0.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SKRA Częstochowa | 2.0 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 13/15 |
| Goczałkowice Zdrój | 0.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Goczałkowice Zdrój | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SKRA Częstochowa vs Goczałkowice Zdrój?
- The Footlab model makes SKRA Częstochowa the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Goczałkowice Zdrój.
- Where and when is SKRA Częstochowa vs Goczałkowice Zdrój played?
- SKRA Częstochowa vs Goczałkowice Zdrój is played on March 13, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at KS Skra Częstochowa Akademia, in the III Liga - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 13, 2027Zaglebie SosnowiecvsCarina Gubin
- Mar 13, 2027ROW RybnikvsBarycz Sułów
- Mar 13, 2027KluczborkvsStilon Gorzów
- Mar 13, 2027Miedź Legnica IIvsZagłębie Lubin II
- Mar 13, 2027Warta GorzówvsOdra Bytom Odrzański
- Mar 13, 2027Karkonosze Jelenia GóravsGórnik Polkowice
- Mar 13, 2027Sparta KatowicevsŚlęza Wrocław
- Mar 13, 2027SłowianinvsStal Brzeg