Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Carina Gubin: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 3Group III - 22Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)ArcelorMittal Park, Sosnowiec
The Footlab model makes Zaglebie Sosnowiec the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Carina Gubin. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Carina Gubin?
A very open match: only 7 Elo points separate Zaglebie Sosnowiec (1,710) and Carina Gubin (1,717).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zaglebie Sosnowiec have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Carina Gubin have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Carina Gubin(away) | 4-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Ślęza Wrocław(home) | 3-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | ROW Rybnik(away) | 1-4 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Goczałkowice Zdrój(home) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Tychy 71(away) | 0-1 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Zaglebie Sosnowiec(home) | 0-4 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | ROW Rybnik(away) | 0-4 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Karkonosze Jelenia Góra(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Warta Gorzów(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Miedź Legnica II(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Zaglebie Sosnowiec win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Carina Gubin win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Carina Gubin 0-4 Zaglebie Sosnowiec | III Liga - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Carina Gubin vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec on Aug 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Zaglebie Sosnowiec score 1.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Carina Gubin score 1.4 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zaglebie Sosnowiec | 1.2 | 1.5 | 5 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Carina Gubin | 1.4 | 1.7 | 1 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Zaglebie Sosnowiec sit 3rd in III Liga - Group 3 (10 points from 5 matches) and Carina Gubin sit 15th (4 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Zaglebie Sosnowiec | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 10 |
| 15 | Carina Gubin | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Carina Gubin?
- The Footlab model makes Zaglebie Sosnowiec the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Carina Gubin.
- Where and when is Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Carina Gubin played?
- Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Carina Gubin is played on March 13, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at ArcelorMittal Park, in the III Liga - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 13, 2027ROW RybnikvsBarycz Sułów
- Mar 13, 2027SKRA CzęstochowavsGoczałkowice Zdrój
- Mar 13, 2027KluczborkvsStilon Gorzów
- Mar 13, 2027Miedź Legnica IIvsZagłębie Lubin II
- Mar 13, 2027Warta GorzówvsOdra Bytom Odrzański
- Mar 13, 2027Karkonosze Jelenia GóravsGórnik Polkowice
- Mar 13, 2027Sparta KatowicevsŚlęza Wrocław
- Mar 13, 2027SłowianinvsStal Brzeg