Sparta Katowice vs Ślęza Wrocław: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 3Group III - 22Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Rapid, Katowice
The Footlab model makes Sparta Katowice the favourite at 68%, against 19% for a draw and 13% for Ślęza Wrocław. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sparta Katowice vs Ślęza Wrocław?
Sparta Katowice starts as the favourite with a 103-point Elo edge (1,832 vs 1,730).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sparta Katowice have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Ślęza Wrocław have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ślęza Wrocław(home) | 3-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Goczałkowice Zdrój(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Stal Brzeg(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stilon Gorzów(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Zagłębie Lubin II(away) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sparta Katowice(away) | 0-3 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Zaglebie Sosnowiec(away) | 1-3 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Goczałkowice Zdrój(away) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Stal Brzeg(away) | 1-5 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Stilon Gorzów(away) | 1-3 | III Liga - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Sparta Katowice win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Ślęza Wrocław win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sparta Katowice 3-0 Ślęza Wrocław | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Sparta Katowice 0-1 Ślęza Wrocław | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Ślęza Wrocław 0-1 Sparta Katowice | III Liga - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Sparta Katowice vs Ślęza Wrocław on Aug 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sparta Katowice score 1.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Ślęza Wrocław score 1.3 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sparta Katowice | 1.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Ślęza Wrocław | 1.3 | 2.1 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sparta Katowice sit 5th in III Liga - Group 3 (10 points from 5 matches) and Ślęza Wrocław sit 16th (3 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Sparta Katowice | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 16 | Ślęza Wrocław | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sparta Katowice vs Ślęza Wrocław?
- The Footlab model makes Sparta Katowice the favourite at 68%, against 19% for a draw and 13% for Ślęza Wrocław.
- Where and when is Sparta Katowice vs Ślęza Wrocław played?
- Sparta Katowice vs Ślęza Wrocław is played on March 13, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Rapid, in the III Liga - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Mar 13, 2027ROW RybnikvsBarycz Sułów
- Mar 13, 2027SKRA CzęstochowavsGoczałkowice Zdrój
- Mar 13, 2027KluczborkvsStilon Gorzów
- Mar 13, 2027Miedź Legnica IIvsZagłębie Lubin II
- Mar 13, 2027Warta GorzówvsOdra Bytom Odrzański
- Mar 13, 2027Karkonosze Jelenia GóravsGórnik Polkowice
- Mar 13, 2027SłowianinvsStal Brzeg