Slavia Hradec Králové vs Ústí nad Orlicí: prediction and stats
4. liga - Divizie CGroup C - 4Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 08:15 AM (UTC)Stadion TJ Slavia, Hradec Králové
The Footlab model makes Ústí nad Orlicí the favourite at 46%, against 23% for a draw and 31% for Slavia Hradec Králové. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Slavia Hradec Králové vs Ústí nad Orlicí?
Ústí nad Orlicí starts as the favourite with a 189-point Elo edge (1,663 vs 1,474).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Slavia Hradec Králové have 2 wins, 2 draws and 11 defeats; Ústí nad Orlicí have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Svitavy(home) | 3-2 | 4. liga - Divizie C |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Dvůr Králové(away) | 1-2 | 4. liga - Divizie C |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Trutnov(home) | 1-2 | Cup |
| Feb 28, 2026 | Trutnov(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 14, 2025 | Horní Ředice(home) | 4-1 | 4. liga - Divizie C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Letohrad(home) | 4-1 | 4. liga - Divizie C |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chrudim II(away) | 6-0 | 4. liga - Divizie C |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Přepeře(away) | 3-4 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Turnov(home) | 2-2 | 4. liga - Divizie C |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Svitavy(home) | 2-1 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Slavia Hradec Králové win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Ústí nad Orlicí win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 4, 2024 | Slavia Hradec Králové 1-2 Ústí nad Orlicí | Cup |
| May 24, 2024 | Slavia Hradec Králové 0-0 Ústí nad Orlicí | 4. liga - Divizie C |
| Oct 28, 2023 | Ústí nad Orlicí 6-1 Slavia Hradec Králové | 4. liga - Divizie C |
Last archived meeting: Slavia Hradec Králové vs Ústí nad Orlicí on Sep 4, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Slavia Hradec Králové score 1.0 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Ústí nad Orlicí score 2.0 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slavia Hradec Králové | 1.0 | 2.1 | 1 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Ústí nad Orlicí | 2.0 | 1.9 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Slavia Hradec Králové sit 11th in 4. liga - Divizie C (3 points from 2 matches) and Ústí nad Orlicí sit 1st (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ústí nad Orlicí | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 7 |
| 11 | Slavia Hradec Králové | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Slavia Hradec Králové vs Ústí nad Orlicí?
- The Footlab model makes Ústí nad Orlicí the favourite at 46%, against 23% for a draw and 31% for Slavia Hradec Králové.
- Where and when is Slavia Hradec Králové vs Ústí nad Orlicí played?
- Slavia Hradec Králové vs Ústí nad Orlicí is played on August 29, 2026 at 08:15 AM (UTC) at Stadion TJ Slavia, in the 4. liga - Divizie C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.