Ústí nad Orlicí vs Hlinsko: prediction and stats
4. liga - Divizie CGroup C - 5Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion TJ Jiskra Ústí nad Orlicí, Ústí nad Orlicí
The Footlab model makes Ústí nad Orlicí the favourite at 57%, against 21% for a draw and 22% for Hlinsko. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ústí nad Orlicí vs Hlinsko?
A very open match: only 71 Elo points separate Ústí nad Orlicí (1,661) and Hlinsko (1,589).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ústí nad Orlicí have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Hlinsko have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Letohrad(home) | 4-1 | 4. liga - Divizie C |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chrudim II(away) | 6-0 | 4. liga - Divizie C |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Přepeře(away) | 3-4 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Turnov(home) | 2-2 | 4. liga - Divizie C |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Svitavy(home) | 2-1 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Svitavy(away) | 6-0 | 4. liga - Divizie C |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dvůr Králové(home) | 3-2 | 4. liga - Divizie C |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kolín(home) | 1-1 | 4. liga - Divizie C |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hermanuv Mestec(away) | 0-3 | Cup |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Brandýs nad Labem(home) | 0-7 | 4. liga - Divizie C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 4 Ústí nad Orlicí win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Hlinsko win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 18, 2024 | Ústí nad Orlicí 2-0 Hlinsko | 4. liga - Divizie C |
| Oct 22, 2023 | Hlinsko 1-2 Ústí nad Orlicí | 4. liga - Divizie C |
| Mar 25, 2023 | Ústí nad Orlicí 3-1 Hlinsko | 4. liga - Divizie C |
| Aug 28, 2022 | Hlinsko 0-2 Ústí nad Orlicí | 4. liga - Divizie C |
Last archived meeting: Ústí nad Orlicí vs Hlinsko on May 18, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Ústí nad Orlicí score 2.0 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Hlinsko score 1.7 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ústí nad Orlicí | 2.0 | 1.9 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Hlinsko | 1.7 | 2.4 | 2 | 8/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ústí nad Orlicí sit 1st in 4. liga - Divizie C (7 points from 3 matches) and Hlinsko sit 2nd (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ústí nad Orlicí | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Hlinsko | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ústí nad Orlicí vs Hlinsko?
- The Footlab model makes Ústí nad Orlicí the favourite at 57%, against 21% for a draw and 22% for Hlinsko.
- Where and when is Ústí nad Orlicí vs Hlinsko played?
- Ústí nad Orlicí vs Hlinsko is played on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion TJ Jiskra Ústí nad Orlicí, in the 4. liga - Divizie C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.