Match

Slough Town vs Hemel Hempstead Town: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 10Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Arbour Park, Slough, Buckinghamshire

Slough TownHemel Hempstead Town

The Footlab model makes Hemel Hempstead Town the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Slough Town. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Slough Town vs Hemel Hempstead Town?

Hemel Hempstead Town starts as the favourite with a 142-point Elo edge (1,839 vs 1,697).

Slough Town win29 %
Draw25 %
Hemel Hempstead Town win46 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Slough Town have 2 wins, 2 draws and 11 defeats; Hemel Hempstead Town have 5, 6 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Slough Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Hampton & Richmond(away)3-5National League - South
Aug 18, 2026Farnham Town(home)0-1National League - South
Aug 15, 2026Dover(away)3-5National League - South
Aug 1, 2026Wealdstone(home)0-2Friendlies Clubs
Jul 28, 2026Oxford City(home)2-1Friendlies Clubs
Hemel Hempstead Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Salisbury(away)2-1National League - South
Aug 18, 2026Maidenhead(home)0-1National League - South
Aug 15, 2026Farnborough(away)2-0National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Chelmsford City(home)1-1National League - South
Aug 1, 2026St Albans City(away)1-1Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Slough Town win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Hemel Hempstead Town win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 17, 2026Hemel Hempstead Town 0-3 Slough TownNational League - South
Aug 16, 2025Slough Town 0-1 Hemel Hempstead TownNational League - South
Jan 11, 2025Hemel Hempstead Town 4-1 Slough TownNational League - South
Sep 7, 2024Slough Town 0-1 Hemel Hempstead TownNational League - South
Apr 13, 2024Hemel Hempstead Town 2-3 Slough TownNational League - South
Dec 19, 2023Slough Town 2-0 Hemel Hempstead TownNational League - South

Last archived meeting: Hemel Hempstead Town vs Slough Town on Jan 17, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Slough Town score 1.5 and concede 2.9 goals per match over their last 15; Hemel Hempstead Town score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Slough Town1.52.9011/1511/15
Hemel Hempstead Town1.10.948/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Slough Town sit 23rd in National League - South (0 points from 3 matches) and Hemel Hempstead Town sit 6th (7 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Hemel Hempstead Town4211537
23Slough Town30036110

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Slough Town vs Hemel Hempstead Town?
The Footlab model makes Hemel Hempstead Town the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Slough Town.
Where and when is Slough Town vs Hemel Hempstead Town played?
Slough Town vs Hemel Hempstead Town is played on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Arbour Park, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Slough Town and Hemel Hempstead Town

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