Match

Dover vs AFC Totton: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 10Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Perrys Crabble Stadium, Dover, Kent

DoverAFC Totton

The Footlab model makes Dover the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for AFC Totton. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Dover vs AFC Totton?

A very open match: only 64 Elo points separate Dover (1,722) and AFC Totton (1,786).

Dover win46 %
Draw24 %
AFC Totton win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dover have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; AFC Totton have 7, 2 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Dover
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Weston-super-Mare(away)3-2National League - South
Aug 18, 2026Tonbridge Angels(home)0-1National League - South
Aug 15, 2026Slough Town(home)5-3National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Billericay Town(away)0-2National League - South
Aug 1, 2026Carshalton Athletic(home)1-1Friendlies Clubs
AFC Totton
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 18, 2026Dorking Wanderers(home)0-3National League - South
Aug 15, 2026Billericay Town(home)1-0National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Farnham Town(away)1-0National League - South
Jul 11, 2026Sutton Utd(home)2-2Friendlies Clubs
Apr 25, 2026Farnborough(home)1-6National League - South

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Dover win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 AFC Totton win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 24, 2026AFC Totton 3-0 DoverNational League - South
Aug 9, 2025Dover 2-3 AFC TottonNational League - South

Last archived meeting: AFC Totton vs Dover on Jan 24, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Dover score 1.2 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; AFC Totton score 1.2 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Dover1.21.827/158/15
AFC Totton1.21.929/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Dover sit 10th in National League - South (6 points from 4 matches) and AFC Totton sit 11th (6 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
10Dover4202886
11AFC Totton3201236

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Dover vs AFC Totton?
The Footlab model makes Dover the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for AFC Totton.
Where and when is Dover vs AFC Totton played?
Dover vs AFC Totton is played on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Perrys Crabble Stadium, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Dover and AFC Totton

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