Dover vs AFC Totton: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 10Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Perrys Crabble Stadium, Dover, Kent
The Footlab model makes Dover the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for AFC Totton. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dover vs AFC Totton?
A very open match: only 64 Elo points separate Dover (1,722) and AFC Totton (1,786).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dover have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; AFC Totton have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Weston-super-Mare(away) | 3-2 | National League - South |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Tonbridge Angels(home) | 0-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Slough Town(home) | 5-3 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Billericay Town(away) | 0-2 | National League - South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Carshalton Athletic(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Dorking Wanderers(home) | 0-3 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Billericay Town(home) | 1-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Farnham Town(away) | 1-0 | National League - South |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Sutton Utd(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Farnborough(home) | 1-6 | National League - South |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Dover win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 AFC Totton win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | AFC Totton 3-0 Dover | National League - South |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Dover 2-3 AFC Totton | National League - South |
How many goals should we expect?
Dover score 1.2 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; AFC Totton score 1.2 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dover | 1.2 | 1.8 | 2 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| AFC Totton | 1.2 | 1.9 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dover sit 10th in National League - South (6 points from 4 matches) and AFC Totton sit 11th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Dover | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 6 |
| 11 | AFC Totton | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dover vs AFC Totton?
- The Footlab model makes Dover the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for AFC Totton.
- Where and when is Dover vs AFC Totton played?
- Dover vs AFC Totton is played on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Perrys Crabble Stadium, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Sep 26, 2026Maidstone UtdvsTruro City
- Sep 26, 2026Billericay TownvsTorquay
- Sep 26, 2026Slough TownvsHemel Hempstead Town
- Sep 26, 2026Chelmsford CityvsHorsham
- Sep 26, 2026Chesham UnitedvsMaidenhead
- Sep 26, 2026SalisburyvsFolkestone Invicta
- Sep 26, 2026Dorking WanderersvsBraintree