Where and when is Maidstone Utd vs Truro City played?

Maidstone Utd vs Truro City is played on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Gallagher Stadium, in the National League - South.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Maidstone Utd vs Truro City: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 10Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Gallagher Stadium, Maidstone, Kent

Maidstone Utd

Truro City

The Footlab model makes Maidstone Utd the favourite at 63%, against 21% for a draw and 16% for Truro City. The most likely score is 2-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Maidstone Utd vs Truro City?

Maidstone Utd starts as the favourite with a 178-point Elo edge (1,930 vs 1,752).

Maidstone Utd win63 %

Draw21 %

Truro City win16 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maidstone Utd have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Truro City have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Maidstone Utd
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Dorking Wanderers(away)	3-2	National League - South
Aug 18, 2026	Folkestone Invicta(home)	1-1	National League - South
Aug 15, 2026	Walton & Hersham(away)	3-0	National League - South
Aug 8, 2026	Farnborough(home)	1-2	National League - South
Aug 1, 2026	Chatham Town(away)	3-0	Friendlies Clubs

Truro City
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Tonbridge Angels(away)	2-0	National League - South
Aug 18, 2026	Southampton U21(home)	2-1	National League Cup
Aug 15, 2026	Chelmsford City(away)	0-0	National League - South
Aug 8, 2026	Maidenhead(home)	2-0	National League - South
Jul 25, 2026	Plymouth(home)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Maidstone Utd win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Truro City win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Dec 14, 2024	Truro City 0-2 Maidstone Utd	National League - South
Aug 17, 2024	Maidstone Utd 1-2 Truro City	National League - South
Apr 13, 2024	Truro City 3-1 Maidstone Utd	National League - South
Dec 5, 2023	Maidstone Utd 2-1 Truro City	National League - South

Last archived meeting: Truro City vs Maidstone Utd on Dec 14, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Maidstone Utd score 2.4 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Truro City score 1.0 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Maidstone Utd	2.4	1.2	6	9/15	11/15
Truro City	1.0	0.6	7	4/15	3/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Maidstone Utd sit 5th in National League - South (7 points from 4 matches) and Truro City sit 4th (7 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	Truro City	3	2	1	0	4	0	7
5	Maidstone Utd	4	2	1	1	8	5	7

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Maidstone Utd vs Truro City?: The Footlab model makes Maidstone Utd the favourite at 63%, against 21% for a draw and 16% for Truro City.
Where and when is Maidstone Utd vs Truro City played?: Maidstone Utd vs Truro City is played on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Gallagher Stadium, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.