Slovan Ljubljana vs Bistrica: prediction and stats
2. SNLRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Športni park Kodeljevo, Ljubljana
The Footlab model makes Bistrica the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for Slovan Ljubljana. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Slovan Ljubljana vs Bistrica?
Bistrica starts as the favourite with a 115-point Elo edge (1,568 vs 1,453).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Slovan Ljubljana have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Bistrica have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Krka(away) | 3-2 | 2. SNL |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Beltinci(home) | 3-1 | 2. SNL |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dekani(away) | 0-3 | 2. SNL |
| May 23, 2026 | Bistrica(away) | 0-1 | 2. SNL |
| May 17, 2026 | Tabor Sežana(home) | 5-1 | 2. SNL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bilje(away) | 4-1 | 2. SNL |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ilirija(home) | 0-6 | 2. SNL |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Krka(away) | 0-0 | 2. SNL |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Lecce(away) | 2-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Voitsberg(away) | 4-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Slovan Ljubljana win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Bistrica win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Bistrica 1-0 Slovan Ljubljana | 2. SNL |
| Nov 15, 2025 | Slovan Ljubljana 2-0 Bistrica | 2. SNL |
| Apr 11, 2025 | Bistrica 2-1 Slovan Ljubljana | 2. SNL |
| Sep 27, 2024 | Slovan Ljubljana 0-2 Bistrica | 2. SNL |
Last archived meeting: Bistrica vs Slovan Ljubljana on May 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Slovan Ljubljana score 1.4 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Bistrica score 1.5 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slovan Ljubljana | 1.4 | 2.0 | 1 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Bistrica | 1.5 | 2.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Slovan Ljubljana sit 6th in 2. SNL (6 points from 3 matches) and Bistrica sit 8th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Slovan Ljubljana | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
| 8 | Bistrica | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Slovan Ljubljana vs Bistrica?
- The Footlab model makes Bistrica the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for Slovan Ljubljana.
- Where and when is Slovan Ljubljana vs Bistrica played?
- Slovan Ljubljana vs Bistrica is played on October 11, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Športni park Kodeljevo, in the 2. SNL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.