Krško vs Triglav: prediction and stats
2. SNLRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Štadion Matije Gubca, Krško
The Footlab model makes Triglav the favourite at 79%, against 14% for a draw and 6% for Krško. The most likely score is 0-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Krško vs Triglav?
Triglav is a heavy favourite: 1,732 Elo points against 1,371 — a 361-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Krško have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Triglav have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Tabor Sežana(home) | 0-6 | 2. SNL |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Jesenice(away) | 1-1 | 2. SNL |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Primorje(home) | 2-1 | 2. SNL |
| May 23, 2026 | Gorica(home) | 2-0 | 2. SNL |
| May 16, 2026 | Dravinja(away) | 1-2 | 2. SNL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Tabor Sežana(away) | 0-1 | 2. SNL |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Dren Vrhnika(away) | 1-0 | 2. SNL |
| May 22, 2026 | Nafta(away) | 1-1 | 2. SNL |
| May 16, 2026 | Bistrica(home) | 0-4 | 2. SNL |
| May 10, 2026 | Tabor Sežana(away) | 1-0 | 2. SNL |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Krško win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Triglav win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2026 | Triglav 4-0 Krško | 2. SNL |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Krško 0-4 Triglav | 2. SNL |
| Mar 5, 2023 | Krško 1-2 Triglav | 2. SNL |
| Aug 19, 2022 | Triglav 2-2 Krško | 2. SNL |
| Apr 23, 2022 | Krško 0-4 Triglav | 2. SNL |
| Oct 8, 2021 | Triglav 4-0 Krško | 2. SNL |
How many goals should we expect?
Krško score 0.9 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Triglav score 1.7 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Krško | 0.9 | 2.1 | 2 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Triglav | 1.7 | 0.6 | 9 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Krško sit 9th in 2. SNL (4 points from 3 matches) and Triglav sit 11th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Krško | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 4 |
| 11 | Triglav | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Krško vs Triglav?
- The Footlab model makes Triglav the favourite at 79%, against 14% for a draw and 6% for Krško.
- Where and when is Krško vs Triglav played?
- Krško vs Triglav is played on October 11, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Štadion Matije Gubca, in the 2. SNL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.