Šmartno vs Šampion Celje: prediction and stats
3. SNL - EastEast - 12Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Štadion Šmartno ob Paki, Šmartno ob Paki
The Footlab model makes Šmartno the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for Šampion Celje. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Šmartno vs Šampion Celje?
A very open match: only 19 Elo points separate Šmartno (1,399) and Šampion Celje (1,418).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Šmartno have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Šampion Celje have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Korotan Prevalje(away) | 0-0 | 3. SNL - East |
| Aug 15, 2026 | NK Ormoz(home) | 2-4 | 3. SNL - East |
| May 23, 2026 | Rače(home) | 0-1 | 3. SNL - East |
| May 16, 2026 | Podvinci(away) | 2-0 | 3. SNL - East |
| May 10, 2026 | Fužinar(home) | 5-0 | 3. SNL - East |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Podvinci(home) | 1-1 | 3. SNL - East |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Čarda Martjanci(away) | 2-3 | 3. SNL - East |
| Sep 3, 2024 | Žalec(away) | 0-2 | Cup |
| Oct 3, 2023 | Krško(home) | 0-1 | Cup |
| Sep 20, 2023 | Mozirje(away) | 1-0 | Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Šmartno score 1.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Šampion Celje score 1.8 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Šmartno | 1.5 | 1.4 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Šampion Celje | 1.8 | 1.6 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Šmartno sit 13th in 3. SNL - East (1 points from 2 matches) and Šampion Celje sit 10th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Šampion Celje | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
| 13 | Šmartno | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Šmartno vs Šampion Celje?
- The Footlab model makes Šmartno the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for Šampion Celje.
- Where and when is Šmartno vs Šampion Celje played?
- Šmartno vs Šampion Celje is played on October 31, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Štadion Šmartno ob Paki, in the 3. SNL - East.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.