Šmartno vs Videm: prediction and stats
3. SNL - EastEast - 3Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Štadion Šmartno ob Paki, Šmartno ob Paki
The Footlab model makes Videm the favourite at 40%, against 22% for a draw and 37% for Šmartno. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Šmartno vs Videm?
Videm starts as the favourite with a 159-point Elo edge (1,557 vs 1,399).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Šmartno have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Videm have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Korotan Prevalje(away) | 0-0 | 3. SNL - East |
| Aug 15, 2026 | NK Ormoz(home) | 2-4 | 3. SNL - East |
| May 23, 2026 | Rače(home) | 0-1 | 3. SNL - East |
| May 16, 2026 | Podvinci(away) | 2-0 | 3. SNL - East |
| May 10, 2026 | Fužinar(home) | 5-0 | 3. SNL - East |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Fužinar(home) | 2-1 | 3. SNL - East |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Korotan Prevalje(away) | 2-4 | 3. SNL - East |
| May 23, 2026 | Ljutomer(away) | 4-6 | 3. SNL - East |
| May 16, 2026 | Hajdina(home) | 2-1 | 3. SNL - East |
| May 9, 2026 | Korotan Prevalje(away) | 5-2 | 3. SNL - East |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Šmartno win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Videm win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Videm 5-2 Šmartno | 3. SNL - East |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Šmartno 1-2 Videm | 3. SNL - East |
How many goals should we expect?
Šmartno score 1.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Videm score 2.0 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Šmartno | 1.5 | 1.4 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Videm | 2.0 | 2.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Šmartno sit 12th in 3. SNL - East (1 points from 2 matches) and Videm sit 13th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Šmartno | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| 13 | Videm | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Šmartno vs Videm?
- The Footlab model makes Videm the favourite at 40%, against 22% for a draw and 37% for Šmartno.
- Where and when is Šmartno vs Videm played?
- Šmartno vs Videm is played on August 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Štadion Šmartno ob Paki, in the 3. SNL - East.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.