Šmartno vs Rače: prediction and stats
3. SNL - EastEast - 4Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Štadion Šmartno ob Paki, Šmartno ob Paki
The Footlab model makes Šmartno the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Rače. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Šmartno vs Rače?
A very open match: only 51 Elo points separate Šmartno (1,399) and Rače (1,450).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Šmartno have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Rače have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Korotan Prevalje(away) | 0-0 | 3. SNL - East |
| Aug 15, 2026 | NK Ormoz(home) | 2-4 | 3. SNL - East |
| May 23, 2026 | Rače(home) | 0-1 | 3. SNL - East |
| May 16, 2026 | Podvinci(away) | 2-0 | 3. SNL - East |
| May 10, 2026 | Fužinar(home) | 5-0 | 3. SNL - East |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | NK Ormoz(away) | 1-2 | 3. SNL - East |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hajdina(home) | 1-1 | 3. SNL - East |
| Jun 19, 2026 | Aluminij(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | Šmartno(away) | 1-0 | 3. SNL - East |
| May 16, 2026 | Brežice(home) | 0-1 | 3. SNL - East |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Šmartno win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Rače win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Šmartno 0-1 Rače | 3. SNL - East |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Rače 1-1 Šmartno | 3. SNL - East |
How many goals should we expect?
Šmartno score 1.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Rače score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Šmartno | 1.5 | 1.4 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Rače | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Šmartno sit 12th in 3. SNL - East (1 points from 2 matches) and Rače sit 10th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Rače | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 12 | Šmartno | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Šmartno vs Rače?
- The Footlab model makes Šmartno the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Rače.
- Where and when is Šmartno vs Rače played?
- Šmartno vs Rače is played on September 5, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Štadion Šmartno ob Paki, in the 3. SNL - East.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.