Smiltene vs Progress / AFA Olaine: result 4-2 and analysis
1. LigaRegular Season - 6Kick-off on May 4, 2025 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Tepera stadions, Smiltene
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What was the result of Smiltene vs Progress / AFA Olaine?
Smiltene won 4-2 on May 4, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 10′K. CernovsProgress / AFA Olaine
- 12′R. RamsSmiltene
- 37′564970Progress / AFA Olaine
- 62′E. JansonsSmiltene
- 63′R. RamsSmiltene
- 68′O. StupelisSmiltene
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Smiltene have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Progress / AFA Olaine have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2025 | Leevon / PPK(home) | 0-4 | 1. Liga |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Mārupe(home) | 1-2 | 1. Liga |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Skanste(away) | 1-1 | 1. Liga |
| Apr 6, 2025 | Riga FC II(home) | 5-1 | 1. Liga |
| Mar 29, 2025 | JDFS Alberts(away) | 1-2 | 1. Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2025 | Riga Mariners(home) | 1-5 | 1. Liga |
| Apr 14, 2025 | Tukums II(home) | 0-1 | 1. Liga |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Ogre United(away) | 1-8 | 1. Liga |
| Mar 29, 2025 | JFK Ventspils(home) | 0-1 | 1. Liga |
| Nov 10, 2024 | JDFS Alberts(home) | 3-2 | 1. Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Smiltene win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Progress / AFA Olaine win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 21, 2024 | Smiltene 0-4 Progress / AFA Olaine | 1. Liga |
| May 18, 2024 | Progress / AFA Olaine 1-1 Smiltene | 1. Liga |
| Aug 20, 2023 | Smiltene 1-3 Progress / AFA Olaine | 1. Liga |
| Apr 23, 2023 | Progress / AFA Olaine 4-0 Smiltene | 1. Liga |
| Aug 21, 2022 | Smiltene 0-3 Progress / AFA Olaine | 1. Liga |
| Apr 17, 2022 | Progress / AFA Olaine 1-2 Smiltene | 1. Liga |
Last archived meeting: Smiltene vs Progress / AFA Olaine on Sep 21, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Smiltene score 1.1 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Progress / AFA Olaine score 1.7 and concede 1.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smiltene | 1.1 | 2.1 | 2 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
| Progress / AFA Olaine | 1.7 | 1.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Smiltene | 10 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 4 |
| 13 | Smiltene | 17 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 47 | 10 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy