Smorgon vs Baranovichi: result 4-2 and analysis
1. DivisionRegular Season - 17Kick-off on September 4, 2016 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadyen Junatstva, Smorgon
Full time
What was the result of Smorgon vs Baranovichi?
Smorgon won 4-2 on September 4, 2016.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Smorgon have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Baranovichi have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 28, 2016 | Torpedo Minsk(away) | 1-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 20, 2016 | Smolevichi-Sti(away) | 1-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 14, 2016 | Zorka-BDU(home) | 4-4 | 1. Division |
| Jul 24, 2016 | Slonim(home) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Jul 16, 2016 | Lida(away) | 3-0 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 28, 2016 | Khimik Svetlogorsk(home) | 5-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 21, 2016 | Torpedo Minsk(away) | 2-3 | 1. Division |
| Aug 14, 2016 | Fc Luch Minsk(home) | 0-1 | 1. Division |
| Jul 23, 2016 | Smolevichi-Sti(away) | 2-2 | 1. Division |
| Jul 17, 2016 | FC Dnepr Mogilev(home) | 0-2 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Smorgon win, 2 draws, 0 Baranovichi wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2016 | Baranovichi 3-3 Smorgon | 1. Division |
| Nov 1, 2015 | Smorgon 2-0 Baranovichi | 1. Division |
| Jul 12, 2015 | Baranovichi 1-1 Smorgon | 1. Division |
Last archived meeting: Baranovichi vs Smorgon on May 8, 2016
How many goals should we expect?
Smorgon score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Baranovichi score 1.3 and concede 1.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smorgon | 1.5 | 1.5 | 5 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Baranovichi | 1.3 | 1.9 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Smorgon | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 37 | 43 | 39 |
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy