Baranovichi vs Belshina: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 29Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadyen Lyakamatyu, Baranovichi
The Footlab model makes Baranovichi the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Belshina. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Baranovichi vs Belshina?
A very open match: only 50 Elo points separate Baranovichi (1,571) and Belshina (1,521).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Baranovichi have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Belshina have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Dinamo Brest(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | ML Vitebsk(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Bate Borisov(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC Isloch Minsk R.(home) | 3-4 | Premier League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | FC Isloch Minsk R.(away) | 1-1 | Coppa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Arsenal(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | FC Dnepr Mogilev(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Dinamo Brest(away) | 0-4 | Premier League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | FC Minsk(home) | 1-2 | Coppa |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Viktoriya Maryina Horka(away) | 8-1 | Coppa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Baranovichi win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Belshina win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 5, 2026 | Belshina 1-1 Baranovichi | Premier League |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Baranovichi 2-1 Belshina | 1. Division |
| May 14, 2025 | Belshina 2-1 Baranovichi | 1. Division |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Baranovichi 0-4 Belshina | 1. Division |
| Jun 2, 2024 | Belshina 5-0 Baranovichi | 1. Division |
| Feb 18, 2023 | Baranovichi 1-1 Belshina | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Belshina vs Baranovichi on Jul 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Baranovichi score 1.6 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Belshina score 1.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baranovichi | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1 | 12/15 | 7/15 |
| Belshina | 1.5 | 1.9 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Baranovichi sit 12th in Premier League (18 points from 19 matches) and Belshina sit 13th (15 points from 17 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Baranovichi | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 35 | 18 |
| 13 | Belshina | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 31 | 15 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Baranovichi vs Belshina?
- The Footlab model makes Baranovichi the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Belshina.
- Where and when is Baranovichi vs Belshina played?
- Baranovichi vs Belshina is played on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadyen Lyakamatyu, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.