Sohar vs Dhofar: prediction and stats
Professional LeagueRegular Season - 3Kick-off on September 11, 2026 at 01:40 PM (UTC)Sohar Regional Sports Complex, Sohar
The Footlab model makes Sohar the favourite at 43%, against 31% for a draw and 26% for Dhofar. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sohar vs Dhofar?
A very open match: only 73 Elo points separate Sohar (1,519) and Dhofar (1,446).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sohar have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Dhofar have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Sur(away) | 3-3 | Professional League |
| May 18, 2026 | Saham(home) | 2-2 | Professional League |
| May 14, 2026 | Smail(away) | 1-2 | Professional League |
| May 8, 2026 | Al-Nahda(away) | 1-0 | FA Cup |
| May 2, 2026 | Bahla(home) | 1-1 | Professional League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Al-Khabourah(home) | 2-1 | Professional League |
| May 18, 2026 | Ibri(away) | 0-2 | Professional League |
| May 14, 2026 | Al-Shabab(home) | 2-0 | Professional League |
| May 2, 2026 | Al Seeb(away) | 1-2 | Professional League |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Al-Nahda(away) | 0-1 | Professional League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Sohar win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Dhofar win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2026 | Dhofar 0-0 Sohar | Professional League |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Sohar 1-0 Dhofar | Professional League |
| Mar 31, 2024 | Dhofar 2-1 Sohar | Professional League |
| Aug 30, 2023 | Sohar 3-0 Dhofar | Professional League |
| Apr 12, 2023 | Sohar 0-1 Dhofar | Professional League |
| Nov 3, 2022 | Dhofar 0-1 Sohar | Professional League |
How many goals should we expect?
Sohar score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Dhofar score 0.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 34% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sohar | 1.1 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Dhofar | 0.9 | 0.9 | 5 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sohar sit 7th in Professional League (38 points from 26 matches) and Dhofar sit 9th (27 points from 26 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Sohar | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 35 | 28 | 38 |
| 9 | Dhofar | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 23 | 30 | 27 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sohar vs Dhofar?
- The Footlab model makes Sohar the favourite at 43%, against 31% for a draw and 26% for Dhofar.
- Where and when is Sohar vs Dhofar played?
- Sohar vs Dhofar is played on September 11, 2026 at 01:40 PM (UTC) at Sohar Regional Sports Complex, in the Professional League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 34% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.