Sur vs Bahla: prediction and stats
Professional LeagueRegular Season - 3Kick-off on September 11, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Sur Sports Complex, Sur
The Footlab model makes Sur the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Bahla. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sur vs Bahla?
A very open match: only 14 Elo points separate Sur (1,468) and Bahla (1,482).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sur have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Bahla have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Sohar(home) | 3-3 | Professional League |
| May 18, 2026 | Oman Club(away) | 3-2 | Professional League |
| May 12, 2026 | Al-Khabourah(home) | 2-1 | Professional League |
| May 8, 2026 | Al-Shabab(home) | 2-0 | Professional League |
| May 3, 2026 | Ibri(away) | 2-1 | Professional League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Smail(away) | 1-0 | Professional League |
| May 18, 2026 | Al-Nahda(home) | 2-1 | Professional League |
| May 13, 2026 | Al Nasr(home) | 1-3 | Professional League |
| May 2, 2026 | Sohar(away) | 1-1 | Professional League |
| Apr 27, 2026 | Oman Club(home) | 1-1 | Professional League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Sur win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Bahla win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2026 | Sur 2-1 Bahla | Professional League |
| Dec 28, 2025 | Bahla 1-2 Sur | Sultan Cup |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Bahla 2-0 Sur | Professional League |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Bahla 2-0 Sur | FA Cup |
| Jan 22, 2025 | Sur 0-3 Bahla | Professional League |
| Oct 6, 2024 | Bahla 3-0 Sur | Professional League |
How many goals should we expect?
Sur score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Bahla score 1.6 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sur | 1.4 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Bahla | 1.6 | 1.1 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sur sit 8th in Professional League (32 points from 26 matches) and Bahla sit 5th (40 points from 26 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Bahla | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 39 | 32 | 40 |
| 8 | Sur | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 34 | 37 | 32 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sur vs Bahla?
- The Footlab model makes Sur the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Bahla.
- Where and when is Sur vs Bahla played?
- Sur vs Bahla is played on September 11, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Sur Sports Complex, in the Professional League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.